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El Nino may weaken beyond February 2019, but caution advised
News:
According to an advisory released by UN Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) and the Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System for Africa and Asia (RIMES), the concurrent 2018 El Nino in the Equatorial Pacific is forecast to weaken beyond February 2019
Important Facts:
- The present El Nino situation is unlikely to produce a large-scale disturbance that can cause wide-ranging global impacts
- Above-normal precipitation is likely during the winter over North Afghanistan, North Pakistan, North India and some areas of North Myanmar.
- Below-normal precipitation is likely to be there in the south-eastern part of India (Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Karnataka), Sri Lanka and the Maldives.
- Considering that El Niño is not the only factor causing climate-related disasters in the Asia-Pacific region, ESCAP-RIMES has advised all sectors to continue monitoring and adjusting their contingency plans and actions based on weather forecasts.
Additional Information
El Niño episodes in the past had wide-ranging impacts on public health and socio-economic sectors depending on magnitude, location, timing of onset, season and societal capacity
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