{"id":126142,"date":"2021-08-16T19:14:27","date_gmt":"2021-08-16T13:44:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.forumias.com\/?p=126142"},"modified":"2021-08-16T19:22:22","modified_gmt":"2021-08-16T13:52:22","slug":"as-taliban-makes-a-rapid-military-advance-through-afghanistan-india-too-must-brace-itself-for-the-consequences","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/as-taliban-makes-a-rapid-military-advance-through-afghanistan-india-too-must-brace-itself-for-the-consequences\/","title":{"rendered":"As Taliban makes a rapid military advance through Afghanistan, India too must brace itself for the consequences"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Source<\/strong>:\u00a0Indian Express <a href=\"https:\/\/indianexpress.com\/article\/opinion\/editorials\/afghanistan-taliban-islamic-emirate-kabul-us-nato-7452765\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">(Article 1)<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/indianexpress.com\/article\/explained\/explained-what-kabul-means-in-delhi-7455479\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Article 2<\/a>) and <a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/blogs\/toi-edit-page\/new-delhis-kabul-call-india-must-not-abandon-afghans-despite-massive-us-blunder-pakistani-manoeuvres\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Times of India<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Relevance<\/strong>: This article explains the recent development in Afghanistan<\/p>\n<p><strong>Synopsis<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<p>The Taliban have seized Kabul. Now, India should be a first responder in the current crisis for humanitarian and longer-term political reasons.<\/p>\n<h5><strong>Introduction:<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>The Taliban first stormed to power in 1996, with an open demonstration of medieval cruelty and a barbaric transition to the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan.<\/p>\n<p>Now, two decades later, they are capturing one strategic city after another. Now, they have returned to Kabul also.<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"background-color: #f2e9f1;\">\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\"><strong>Read more<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/indias-afghan-policy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">India\u2019s future Afghan policy \u2013 Explained, pointwise<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h5><strong>Taliban rise to power again:<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>According to the latest reports, the militants control two-thirds of the Afghan landmass.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The <strong>Doha Agreement<\/strong>, from which the US excluded the Afghan government in order to keep the Taliban happy, now does not matter.<\/li>\n<li>The Taliban <strong>stepped up attacks soon after the <a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/the-doha-agreement-and-afghan-peace-process\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Doha Agreement<\/a><\/strong> concluded, carefully avoiding any engagement with existing foreign forces.<\/li>\n<li>A <strong>UN report<\/strong> has already pointed to the <strong>continuing contacts between the Taliban and al-Qaeda<\/strong>. Similarly, the influence of Pakistan is also present.\u00a0The current Taliban cadres, instructed by half-educated teachers in Pakistani madrassas and training camps<\/li>\n<li>The United Nations High Commission for Refugees has estimated that <strong>nearly 4,00,000 Afghan civilians have been forced to flee<\/strong> their homes, due to fighting this year.<\/li>\n<li>There have been reprisal killings already, and <strong>reports say 90 Afghan media outlets have shut down<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The Afghan President has sent an offer to the Taliban to share power. But Taliban&#8217;s are reluctant and try to win the entire Afghan. Recently, Afghan President Ashraf Ghani stepped down from power.<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"background-color: #f2e9f1;\">\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\"><strong>Read more<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/india-must-directly-engage-with-taliban-2-0\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">India must directly engage with Taliban 2.0<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h5><strong>Why the US mission failed?<\/strong><\/h5>\n<ul>\n<li>The US has <strong>never really considered Afghanistan of strategic importance<\/strong>. For all its<strong> $1 trillion investment in Afghanistan<\/strong> and its awareness of Afghanistan\u2019s mineral wealth, the US <strong>never really invested in the Afghan economy<\/strong> or attempt to integrate it into its economic sphere of influence (including India).\n<ul>\n<li>But the US did that after its interventions after World War II in Europe, East Asia, and later in the oil economies of the Gulf.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Similarly, the US<strong> did not invest in Afghan democracy<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h5><strong>Outcomes of the Taliban rise<\/strong><\/h5>\n<ol>\n<li>The immediate challenge is a <strong>massive humanitarian crisis.<\/strong> Hundreds of thousands are internally displaced, who have left war zones and taken shelter on pavements and parks in Kabul.<\/li>\n<li>The <strong>panic and rush for passports<\/strong> and visas can be seen among those, who fear for their lives from the Taliban or their sponsors.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h5><strong>Suggestions for India:<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>With the Taliban in Kabul, the old debate in India on whether to talk or not to the Taliban is now academic. India has a presence in Afghanistan. So, India&#8217;s solidarity and support for the Afghan people must continue.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Taliban have announced that there will be no witch hunt, and it will respect a transitional process. So, India <strong>should keep an open mind, wait and watch what they actually do<\/strong> during and after the transitional process, assess how inclusive they are.<\/li>\n<li>India should also <strong>facilitate emergency visas and evacuation of those close to India,<\/strong> who will be under threat.<\/li>\n<li>India recently received an invitation to the \u201cTroika Plus\u201d talks in Doha. It should actively engage in that.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"background-color: #f2e9f1;\">\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\"><strong>Read more<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/afghan-peace-process-and-india-explained-pointwise\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Afghan Peace Process and India \u2013 Explained, Pointwise<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h5><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>The best choice for Afghanistan still is a negotiated settlement, instead of Taliban-dictated terms.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Terms to know:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/india-not-part-of-troika-plus-pakistan-conference\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Troika Plus talks<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/who-are-taliban-explained\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Taliban<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Source:\u00a0Indian Express (Article 1), Article 2) and Times of India Relevance: This article explains the recent development in Afghanistan Synopsis: The Taliban have seized Kabul. Now, India should be a first responder in the current crisis for humanitarian and longer-term political reasons. Introduction: The Taliban first stormed to power in 1996, with an open demonstration&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/as-taliban-makes-a-rapid-military-advance-through-afghanistan-india-too-must-brace-itself-for-the-consequences\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">As Taliban makes a rapid military advance through Afghanistan, India too must brace itself for the consequences<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10311,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1230,9],"tags":[8842,212,8751,8785],"class_list":["post-126142","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-9-pm-daily-articles","category-public","tag-afghan-policy-of-india","tag-gs-paper-2","tag-india-and-its-neighborhood","tag-india-afghanistan-relations","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":{"total":0,"cached_at":"","cached_date":1704827477},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126142","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10311"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=126142"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126142\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=126142"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=126142"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=126142"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}