{"id":126934,"date":"2021-08-18T20:06:42","date_gmt":"2021-08-18T14:36:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.forumias.com\/?p=126934"},"modified":"2021-08-20T12:13:26","modified_gmt":"2021-08-20T06:43:26","slug":"the-script-of-the-new-endgame-in-afghanistan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/the-script-of-the-new-endgame-in-afghanistan\/","title":{"rendered":"The script of the new endgame in Afghanistan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Source<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/epaper.thehindu.com\/Home\/ShareArticle?OrgId=GG38STITR.1&amp;imageview=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Hindu<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/indianexpress.com\/article\/opinion\/columns\/understanding-the-strategic-flux-and-humanitarian-crisis-in-afghanistan-taliban-7458725\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Indian Express<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/blogs\/beyond-the-headline\/how-goi-can-send-a-message-to-taliban-implement-caa-even-if-it-cant-help-minorities-in-afghanistan-now-the-symbolism-is-important\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Times of India<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/epaper.livemint.com\/Home\/ShareArticle?OrgId=1881b18a8b8&amp;imageview=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Livemint<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/news\/india\/india-very-important-in-dealing-with-afghan-crisis-says-uk\/articleshow\/85399616.cms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Economic Times<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Relevance<\/strong>: This article explains the recent developments in Afghanistan.<\/p>\n<h5><strong>Synopsis<\/strong>:<\/h5>\n<p>Taliban will have to show moderation if they wish to be accepted as a member of the global community.<\/p>\n<h5><strong>Introduction<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>The U.S. forces vacated the Bagram airbase (near Kabul) on July 2. Within six weeks, the Taliban captured Kabul. This shows the brittleness of Afghan security forces.<\/p>\n<p>Afghanistan today is in a condition that is far worse than what existed when the Russians withdrew in the 1990s.<\/p>\n<h5><strong>How the situation is different from the 1990s?<\/strong><\/h5>\n<ol>\n<li>In the 1990s, the Taliban were a band of outlaws. But today, they are recognised by powers such as the U.S., Russia, and China, and are on the brink of gaining a country.<\/li>\n<li>In the 1990s, Russia had to contend with a superpower (the US) to hold the region. But this time, the US withdraws from Afghan without any credible outside power.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h5><strong>How did the US decision to withdraw impact it?<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>The US has long been searching for an honorable exit. The U.S. decision to withdraw (after the <a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/the-doha-agreement-and-afghan-peace-process\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Doha Agreement<\/a>) <strong>results in three important signals<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>The US <strong>failed to safeguard the interests of the Afghanistan people<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>The <strong>U.S. had acknowledged the Taliban\u2019s supremacy<\/strong> in return for the safe passage of their troops.<\/li>\n<li><strong>In 2001<\/strong>, the US decided to take a <strong>global war on terror<\/strong>. Beginning with Afghanistan, the US went through Iraq, Libya, and Syria. <strong>All with mixed results<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>All this has diminished the image of the U.S. in Asia. In light of this, US&#8217;s claim to \u2018make America great again\u2019 sounds extremely impossible.<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"background-color: #f2e9f1;\">\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\"><strong>Read more<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/as-taliban-makes-a-rapid-military-advance-through-afghanistan-india-too-must-brace-itself-for-the-consequences\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">As Taliban makes a rapid military advance through Afghanistan, India too must brace itself for the consequences<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h5><strong>How did the US decision to withdraw impact China?<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>The US now regards China as its principal strategic competitor. While the US struck in Afghan, China started asserting its claims in the East and South China Seas.<\/p>\n<p>To tackle China effectively in the Indo-Pacific, the US needs resources and attention. With the US decision to withdraw from Afghanistan, the <strong>US now will have better options and greater resources in dealing with China<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, the<strong> absence of the US in Central Asia<\/strong> <strong>provides an opportunity for China<\/strong>\u00a0in that region.<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"background-color: #f2e9f1;\">\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\"><strong>Read more<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/afghan-peace-process-and-india-explained-pointwise\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Afghan Peace Process and India \u2013 Explained, Pointwise<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h5><strong>How do the old terror outfits get benefits out of Afghanistan?<\/strong><\/h5>\n<ul>\n<li>After two decades of active involvement in the affairs of Afghanistan, and spending over a trillion dollars in the process to defeat terrorism and al-Qaeda, <strong>the U.S. has left Afghanistan without achieving any of its objectives<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>Further, there has been a resurgence in al-Qaeda activities recently.<\/li>\n<li>The IS, after some earlier setbacks, is again regrouping and currently poses a real threat.<\/li>\n<li>So, the <strong>collapse of the Afghan state will ignite many old threats in West Asia<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h5><strong>India &#8211; Afghanistan relations<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/explained-indias-afghanistan-investment\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Read this post to know about India\u2019s Afghanistan investment<\/a>. The other investments are,<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>India also provides <strong>assistance to Afghan nationals under its Indian Technical and Economic Cooperation (ITEC) and Indian Council for Cultural Relations (ICCR) programmes<\/strong>. So far, more than 65,000 students have studied in India under various scholarships, and there are 15,000 such students presently.<\/li>\n<li>Under the <strong>Pakistan-Afghanistan Transit Trade Agreement (APTTA)<\/strong>, Pakistan provided Afghan traders access to its Wagah border with India, thus allowing Afghan exports to reach India. The agreement, however, does not allow Indian goods.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"background-color: #f2e9f1;\">\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\"><strong>Read more<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/indias-afghan-policy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">India\u2019s future Afghan policy \u2013 Explained, pointwise<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h5><strong>What India needs to do?<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>India needs to implement the Citizenship (Amendment) Act, 2019 to protect the minorities in Afghanistan.<\/p>\n<p>As and when the situation stabilises medical visas, visas for students who have already secured admission can be considered.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Read other suggestions from<\/strong>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/return-of-taliban-has-implications-for-india\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Return of Taliban has implications for India<\/a><\/p>\n<h5><strong>International relations with Taliban&#8217;s Afghanistan:<\/strong><\/h5>\n<ul>\n<li>Among Afghanistan\u2019s neighbours, India and Iran are two countries that would find accommodation with a Taliban-dominated Afghanistan very difficult. This is due to their warm relations with the Karzai and the Ghani regimes in the past two decades.<\/li>\n<li>The Taliban will need Pakistan at least in the short and medium term. So, Pakistan will maintain cordial relations with the Taliban in the near future.<\/li>\n<li>Relations between Taliban Afghanistan and Uzbekistan and Tajikistan may not be easy, but will not lead to any major problems for now.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"background-color: #f2e9f1;\">\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\"><strong>Read more<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/india-must-directly-engage-with-taliban-2-0\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">India must directly engage with Taliban 2.0<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h5><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>The situation in Afghanistan represents a severe setback for India. Afghanistan under the Taliban would remain the \u2018sick man of Asia\u2019 for generations to come. Because, taking over a country by force is one thing, but governing it effectively is quite another matter.<\/p>\n<div class=\"content-box-green\">\n<p><strong>Terms to know:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/india-not-part-of-troika-plus-pakistan-conference\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Troika Plus talks<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/who-are-taliban-explained\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Taliban<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Source: The Hindu, Indian Express, Times of India, Livemint and The Economic Times Relevance: This article explains the recent developments in Afghanistan. Synopsis: Taliban will have to show moderation if they wish to be accepted as a member of the global community. Introduction The U.S. forces vacated the Bagram airbase (near Kabul) on July 2.&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/the-script-of-the-new-endgame-in-afghanistan\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The script of the new endgame in Afghanistan<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10311,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1230,9],"tags":[8842,212,8751,8785,560],"class_list":["post-126934","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-9-pm-daily-articles","category-public","tag-afghan-policy-of-india","tag-gs-paper-2","tag-india-and-its-neighborhood","tag-india-afghanistan-relations","tag-taliban","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":{"total":0,"cached_at":"","cached_date":1702979148},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126934","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10311"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=126934"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126934\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=126934"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=126934"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=126934"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}