{"id":138493,"date":"2021-09-30T18:26:39","date_gmt":"2021-09-30T12:56:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.forumias.com\/?p=138493"},"modified":"2021-09-30T18:26:39","modified_gmt":"2021-09-30T12:56:39","slug":"cause-for-optimism-as-our-economy-livens-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/cause-for-optimism-as-our-economy-livens-up\/","title":{"rendered":"Cause for optimism as our economy livens\u00a0up\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">What is\u00a0the news?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Recent tax collections are reported to be bright enough for India\u2019s government not to raise money from the market\u00a0to\u00a0honour\u00a0its GST-gap funding commitment of almost \u20b91.6 trillion to states.\u00a0\u00a0The Centre laid out a plan to borrow only \u20b95.03 trillion in the second half of 2021-22, on top of the \u20b97.02 trillion raised in the first six months. It is thus\u00a0abiding by its budgetary target of \u20b912.05 trillion for the full year.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">What is the cause\u00a0for optimism at this point?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Besides dropping covid cases, revival in economic activity reflected in our tax collection is the reason for optimism.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">What are the indications of an economic revival?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><strong>&#8211; <\/strong>From a production perspective, the purchasing managers\u2019 index in August went above its five-year average, as did growth in rail freight traffic. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&#8211; <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Our trade balance improved,\u00a0labor-intensive\u00a0exports rose<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, and India logged an import cover of 14.5 months, even as the rupee gained a bit\u00a0on the dollar.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">What is the status of India\u2019s export\u00a0and how we can improve it further?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><em>First<\/em>,<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0India\u2019s export is rising. It settled\u00a0above\u00a0$30 billion.\u00a0There is\u00a0post-pandemic\u00a0surge of demand likely in rich export-markets and global moves underway to diversify supply\u00a0chains away from China. Thus,\u00a0we have a chance of export-led expansion that we must not\u00a0miss.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><b>Second<\/b><\/em><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, logistical and duty-related hurdles need to be done away with, processes eased and trade deals sealed. The export competitiveness is an edge that calls for enhanced quality-control by exporters and low-cost production in US-dollar terms. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A needlessly strong rupee, pushed up by investment inflows rather than an export surplus, could leave some \u2018Made in India\u2019 offerings out of reach and limit our ability to maximize overseas gains. <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><b>Third<\/b><\/em><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, our Central bank allows our currency to float but not allow volatility in its exchange rate beyond a point. This is consistent with market practices that meet US approval. Yet, conversion rates moved by capital flows, instead of imports and exports, interfere with trade adjustments. A promise of mutual benefit can justify action to achieve a stable export market.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><strong>Source<\/strong>: This post is based on the article &#8220;<strong>Cause for optimism as our economy livens up<\/strong><\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&#8221; published in\u00a0<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Livemint <\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">on\u00a0<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">30th Sep 2021.<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What is\u00a0the news?\u00a0 Recent tax collections are reported to be bright enough for India\u2019s government not to raise money from the market\u00a0to\u00a0honour\u00a0its GST-gap funding commitment of almost \u20b91.6 trillion to states.\u00a0\u00a0The Centre laid out a plan to borrow only \u20b95.03 trillion in the second half of 2021-22, on top of the \u20b97.02 trillion raised in&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/cause-for-optimism-as-our-economy-livens-up\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Cause for optimism as our economy livens\u00a0up\u00a0<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10328,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1566,3127,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-138493","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-daily-factly-articles","category-economy","category-public","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":{"total":0,"cached_at":"","cached_date":1704519457},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/138493","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10328"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=138493"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/138493\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=138493"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=138493"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=138493"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}