{"id":168063,"date":"2022-02-11T20:24:52","date_gmt":"2022-02-11T14:54:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.forumias.com\/?p=168063"},"modified":"2022-02-11T20:24:52","modified_gmt":"2022-02-11T14:54:52","slug":"a-growth-focused-monetary-policy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/a-growth-focused-monetary-policy\/","title":{"rendered":"A growth focused monetary policy"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">News<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">: <\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">To maintain a desired growth rate, Reserve Bank has kept an accommodative policy stance despite the new risks from elevated crude oil prices and the possibility of aggressive policy measures by the US Federal Reserve. <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">What is accommodative policy stance and its impact?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">An accommodative stance means\u00a0the central bank is prepared to <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">expand the money supply<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> to boost economic growth. The central bank, during an accommodative policy period, is willing to <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">cut the interest rates.<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">The accommodative stance has surprised markets due to which the <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">benchmark 10-year yield<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> which had got a rise due to government\u2019s borrowing programme has <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">softened a bit. <\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">However even with an accommodative stance, RBI continues maintaining liquidity according to a calibrated policy stance.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">What is the policy adopted by other central banks globally?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">The global situation, however, is <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">different<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">. With rising inflation being viewed as a potent threat, many central banks are tilting towards <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">faster tightening<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">Several emerging market economies, especially those following <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/effectiveness-of-inflation-targeting-in-india-explained-pointwise\/\">inflation targeting<\/a><\/strong><\/span>, had started raising interest rates last year in response to inflationary pressures from food and energy prices.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">This has been happening in the backdrop of rising geopolitical tensions in Central Asia and Ukraine, which is leading to a spike in energy prices.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">However it is the <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">actions of the US Fed that matter most to India<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">. Faced with rising inflation, the Fed has been maintaining a <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">hawkish stance.<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">Although India\u2019s monetary policy is primarily governed by domestic factors, the <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">effect of US Fed cannot completely be ignored. <\/span><\/b><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Abrupt policy changes create volatility in capital flows<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> and currency markets, as was witnessed during <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">the taper tantrum of August 2013<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">What are the potential risk factors that may affect Indian economy?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">While <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">India\u2019s external accounts are healthy<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"><em> (higher foreign exchange reserves, and lower current account deficits and short-term foreign debt)<\/em>, its vulnerability arises from <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">high domestic debt and deficit. <\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">Although the rupee has remained resilient despite tightening global financial conditions. However, <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">rising crude oil prices and current account deficits<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> can increase India\u2019s vulnerability.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">Rising crude oil prices remain an <strong>inflation threat<\/strong>, as it can also have a cascading effect on other prices. Fiscal policy (tax cuts) is perhaps the best way to deal with the pressures from commodity prices.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">But given the already-stretched fiscal consolidation path, a further cut in excise duty on oil was not envisaged in the budget.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">What are RBI\u2019s projections for the future growth trajectory?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">It has projected the economy to grow at <strong>7.8%<\/strong> next year. However, Due to heightened uncertainty, the monetary policy will largely remain data-driven<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Source: <\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">This post is based on the article \u201c<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">A growth focused monetary policy<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u201d published in <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">The Indian express <\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">on 11<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">th<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\"> Feb 2022.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>News: To maintain a desired growth rate, Reserve Bank has kept an accommodative policy stance despite the new risks from elevated crude oil prices and the possibility of aggressive policy measures by the US Federal Reserve. \u00a0 What is accommodative policy stance and its impact?\u00a0 An accommodative stance means\u00a0the central bank is prepared to expand&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/a-growth-focused-monetary-policy\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">A growth focused monetary policy<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10328,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1230,9],"tags":[216,10500],"class_list":["post-168063","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-9-pm-daily-articles","category-public","tag-gs-paper-3","tag-indian-express","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/168063","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10328"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=168063"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/168063\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=168063"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=168063"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=168063"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}