{"id":178509,"date":"2022-04-09T20:40:08","date_gmt":"2022-04-09T15:10:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.forumias.com\/?p=178509"},"modified":"2022-04-09T20:40:08","modified_gmt":"2022-04-09T15:10:08","slug":"rbi-shift-on-monetary-policy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/rbi-shift-on-monetary-policy\/","title":{"rendered":"RBI shift on monetary policy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p aria-level=\"1\"><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">News<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">: Recently, contrary to the <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">predominant market expectations<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> that the status quo will be maintained by RBI on the monetary policy, the <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Monetary Policy Committee (MPC<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">urprised everyone. The body has reinforced the <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">de facto normalisation<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">, which had already started in November 2021.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">What has been announced by the RBI?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">The Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) corridor has been <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">narrowed back<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> to the <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">conventional 0.25 percentage points<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">. Earlier, the corridor was extraordinarily widened due to a pandemic in late March 2020.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">The RBI has fixed the rate of the newly introduced <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Standing Deposit Facility<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> (SDF) <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">t 3.75% . The facility will absorb excess liquidity available with the commercial banks without any requirement of collateral instruments.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">Now, the priority of the monetary policy has been changed. It will now focus on\u202f<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">CPI inflation managemen<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">t (target of 4% +\/- 2%), growth and financial stability. The <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">extraordinary accommodation approach <\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">will be withdrawn.<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">What are the reasons for unexpected tightening?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">There has been uncertainty over <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">growth<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> of the Indian economy. The <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">demand<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> has been concentrated at the upper-income level of households. <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Inflation<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> has emerged as a big concern.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\"><strong>(1)<\/strong> Apart from high crude <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">oil prices<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">, commodity prices have increased across the board, say, gas, metals, minerals, commodities, food, gold, etc. This will lead to strong <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">inflationary pressures<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\"><strong>(2)<\/strong> India\u2019s real GDP growth projection has been reduced from 7.8% to 7.2% for FY23 due to supply disruptions, slowing down of global economy and trade, high prices and financial markets volatility.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\"><strong>(3)<\/strong> There seems to be <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">demand destruction<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> in the Indian economy as a result of <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">continuing high inflation<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\"><strong>(4)<\/strong> There has been an issue of <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">financial stability<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">. This is being challenged by uncertainty in the interest rate, and foreign exchange rates, market volatility, banking sector asset stress, and so on.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\"><strong>(5)<\/strong> The RBI\u2019s Open Market Operations (OMOs) are required to prevent more liquidity in the market. RBI wants <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">money supply<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> and <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">system liquidity management<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">. It is because the Central and state government\u2019s <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">large borrowing programme<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> will increase the interest rates on sovereign bonds.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">What are the implications of monetary policy tightening like repo rate hike?<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">First, <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">interest rates<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> will begin to increase. For bank borrowers, this is likely to be a very gradual process. For corporates and other wholesale borrowers, who also borrow from bond markets, this increase is likely to be faster.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">Second, around 40% of bank loans are now linked to external benchmarks (like the repo rate). Therefore, Interest rates on bank credit will rise faster.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Way Forward<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">A relatively <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">loose fiscal policy<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> can offset some of this <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">reduced demand<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">. The government can continue its subsidies to lower-income households.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Source<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">: The post is based on an article \u201c<strong>RBI shift on monetary policy<\/strong>\u201d published in the <strong>Indian Express<\/strong> on<strong> 09<\/strong><\/span><strong>th April 2022.<\/strong><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>News: Recently, contrary to the predominant market expectations that the status quo will be maintained by RBI on the monetary policy, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) surprised everyone. The body has reinforced the de facto normalisation, which had already started in November 2021.\u00a0 What has been announced by the RBI?\u00a0 The Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF)&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/rbi-shift-on-monetary-policy\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">RBI shift on monetary policy<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10328,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1230,9],"tags":[216,10500],"class_list":["post-178509","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-9-pm-daily-articles","category-public","tag-gs-paper-3","tag-indian-express","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/178509","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10328"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=178509"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/178509\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=178509"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=178509"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=178509"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}