{"id":179997,"date":"2022-04-18T20:49:06","date_gmt":"2022-04-18T15:19:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.forumias.com\/?p=179997"},"modified":"2022-04-18T20:49:06","modified_gmt":"2022-04-18T15:19:06","slug":"focus-on-cpi-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/focus-on-cpi-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"Focus on CPI inflation\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p aria-level=\"1\"><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">News<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">: In 2021 and 2022, the present inflation rate in developed markets is much higher (8.5% in the US). Therefore, the central banks of <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">developed markets (DM)<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> like the US Fed, or the European Central Bank, or the Bank of England \u2014 all of them have chosen <\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><b>inflation targeting<\/b><\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">It has generated debate on the choice of the monetary policy between <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">controlling inflation\u202f<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">versus <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">controlling the exchange rate,<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> including in the context of India.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">What are the two strategies of monetary policy for price control?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">(A) <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Exchange Rate management<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">: There is a connection between the <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">price stabili<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"><strong>ty<\/strong> and <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">the exchange rate management<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">. The stabilization of the exchange rate can stabilise domestic prices. \u202fThe exchange rate is largely determined by the government and not through market forces. It induced price stability.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">(B) <\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/effectiveness-of-inflation-targeting-in-india-explained-pointwise\/\"><b>Inflation Targeting<\/b><\/a><\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">How is monetary policy strategy with exchange rate management successful for price control?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">It would foster price stability. However, the exchange rate management works well where products have <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">goods arbitrage<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">. It induces a <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">low tradeables inflation<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> while importing. For example, the RBI did exchange rate management between 1983-2021 period. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">It had benefit of stabilising the <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">tradeables inflation<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Why is Inflation Targeting being chosen as part of monetary policy nowadays?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">(A) The exchange rate management have a lot of weaknesses<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">The monetary policy with exchange rate management does not work for a product where the product has a fair degree of <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">import parity pricing<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">The monetary policy with exchange rate management works well for a small country like Singapore. In India, which is a <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">continental economy<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">, many prices are not made through goods arbitrage, and low tradeables inflation is less valuable.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">The <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">monetary policy strategy<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> based on exchange rate management is not optimal. It only stabilises the prices of tradeables. However, It ultimately harms growth and stability. For example, A great inflation began in India in 2006. It also resulted in a currency defence in 2013.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">It works when global inflation is under control. For example, in this situation, if the RBI stabilises the USD\/INR, it can lead to import of<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> low tradeables inflation <\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">into India.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">(B) Inflation Targeting can lead to several advantages<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">The inflation targeting works well for <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Import parity pricing<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">. The prices of most commodities having merely feasible <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">goods arbitrage<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> are controlled by <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">import parity pricing<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">It also works for <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">big sized economies<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> like India. For example, India has chosen it in 2015 as India is a continental size economy.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">Therefore, monetary policy shifted to <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">inflation targeting<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> in February 2015.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Ways Forward<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">For other developed markets, getting inflation down to a target of <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">2%<\/span><\/b> <b><span data-contrast=\"none\">consumer price index (CPI) inflation<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"none\"> will take time.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">The RBI can deliver a predictable 4% CPI inflation. It can lead to macroeconomic stability<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:180,&quot;335559740&quot;:360}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Source:<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> The post is based on an article \u201c<strong>Focus on CPI inflation\u201d<\/strong> published in the <strong>Business Standard<\/strong> on <strong>17<\/strong><\/span><strong>th<\/strong><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><strong> April 2022<\/strong>.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>News: In 2021 and 2022, the present inflation rate in developed markets is much higher (8.5% in the US). Therefore, the central banks of developed markets (DM) like the US Fed, or the European Central Bank, or the Bank of England \u2014 all of them have chosen inflation targeting. It has generated debate on the&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/focus-on-cpi-inflation\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Focus on CPI inflation\u00a0<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10328,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1230,9],"tags":[10503,216],"class_list":["post-179997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-9-pm-daily-articles","category-public","tag-business-standard","tag-gs-paper-3","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":{"total":0,"cached_at":1700801771,"cached_date":1704942246},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179997","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10328"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=179997"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179997\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=179997"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=179997"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=179997"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}