{"id":182916,"date":"2022-05-05T20:56:45","date_gmt":"2022-05-05T15:26:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.forumias.com\/?p=182916"},"modified":"2022-05-05T20:58:15","modified_gmt":"2022-05-05T15:28:15","slug":"inflation-control-needs-another-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/inflation-control-needs-another-model\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation control needs another model\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p aria-level=\"1\"><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">News<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">: <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Recently, <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the Monetary Policy Committee<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> has announced its primary focus on inflation or the\u201d <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">inflation targeting.<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> Keeping the high inflationary pressure into consideration, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has\u202f<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">raised the policy repo rate in order to ensure price stability.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Status of inflation in India<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The wholesale price inflation has been in the double digits for over 12 months. The consumer price index (CPI) has breached the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)\u2019s upper target of 6%.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">What is Inflation targeting?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:150,&quot;335559740&quot;:390}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Inflation targeting is based on the idea that inflation is the result of \u201c<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">overheating<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201d of the economy. It <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">reflects an <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">excess of output<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> over its \u2018<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">natural\u2019 level.<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:150,&quot;335559740&quot;:390}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Therefore, the central bank raised the <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">interest rate<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> or \u2018<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">repo rate\u2019<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> to control inflation. It is the rate at which the central bank lends to commercial banks. It induces firms to stay their <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">investment plans<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, and focus on<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> reducing inventories, <\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">and lowering production. This ensures the contraction of the output takes to the natural level of output (i.e., optimal level). This may lead to a decline in inflation. It ensures full employment and freely functioning labour market.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:150,&quot;335559740&quot;:390}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">What are the issues in inflation targeting in India?<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:150,&quot;335559740&quot;:390}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">India\u2019s <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">official model of inflation control<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> is based on <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">unscientific<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> a foundation. The Indian model is based on the idea to achieve <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201cnatural level of output<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201d. However, it is a <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">theoretical<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> and unobservable phenomenon. The <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">RBI report of 2014<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> did not mention any empirical validity of this model of inflation.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:150,&quot;335559740&quot;:390}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">India\u2019s model is based on the idea that inflation is driven by <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">agricultural goods prices<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. Therefore, the production and supply of agricultural goods should be increased. This would cause the Indian economy to expand without inflation. However, whenever there is <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">surplus agricultural production<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, the government procures food grains at the highest price. This leads to inflation.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:150,&quot;335559740&quot;:390}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The growing per capita income in India has shifted the<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> average consumption basket <\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">towards foods rich in minerals, such as fruits and vegetables, and protein, such as milk and meat. But the expansion of the supply of these foods has been lower than the growth in demand for them.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:150,&quot;335559740&quot;:390}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Therefore, the RBI\u2019s present move of increasing the repo rate is not an efficient solution for an <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">agricultural price-driven inflation<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:150,&quot;335559740&quot;:390}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Way Forward<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:150,&quot;335559740&quot;:390}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Monetary policy can control inflation by curbing the growth of <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">non-agricultural output. <\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This would in turn lower the growth of demand for agricultural goods. As the demand for agricultural goods slows, so will inflation.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:150,&quot;335559740&quot;:390}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">There should be a focus to increase the <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">supply<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> of food other than rice and wheat like <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">fruits<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">vegetables<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">milk<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> and <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">meat<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:150,&quot;335559740&quot;:390}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The government should work hard towards increasing <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">agricultural productivity<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> and thereby increasing agricultural production and supply.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:true,&quot;134233118&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:2,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:150,&quot;335559740&quot;:390}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Source<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">: The post is based on an article \u201c<strong>Inflation control needs another model<\/strong>\u201d published in <strong>the Hindu<\/strong> on <strong>05<\/strong><\/span><strong>th<\/strong><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><strong> May 2022<\/strong>.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>News: Recently, the Monetary Policy Committee has announced its primary focus on inflation or the\u201d inflation targeting. Keeping the high inflationary pressure into consideration, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has\u202fraised the policy repo rate in order to ensure price stability.\u00a0 Status of inflation in India\u00a0 The wholesale price inflation has been in the double&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/inflation-control-needs-another-model\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Inflation control needs another model\u00a0<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10328,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1230,9],"tags":[216,10498],"class_list":["post-182916","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-9-pm-daily-articles","category-public","tag-gs-paper-3","tag-the-hindu","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":{"total":0,"cached_at":"","cached_date":1704661942},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/182916","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10328"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=182916"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/182916\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=182916"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=182916"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=182916"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}