{"id":191574,"date":"2022-06-21T21:17:12","date_gmt":"2022-06-21T15:47:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.forumias.com\/?p=191574"},"modified":"2022-06-21T21:17:12","modified_gmt":"2022-06-21T15:47:12","slug":"explained-what-is-a-black-swan-event","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/explained-what-is-a-black-swan-event\/","title":{"rendered":"Explained: What is a black swan event?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h5><b>What is the News?<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A study by the Reserve Bank of India(RBI) has spoken about the possibility of capital outflows to the tune of $100 billion from India in case of a major global risk scenario or a \u201cBlack Swan\u201d event.<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>What is Black Swan Event?<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A Black Swan is a rare, unpredictable event that comes as a surprise and has a significant impact on society or the world.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These events are said to have three distinguishing characteristics \u2013 <strong>1)<\/strong> They are extremely rare and outside the realm of regular expectations, <strong>2)<\/strong> They have a severe impact after they hit and <strong>3)<\/strong> They seem probable in hindsight when plausible explanations appear.<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>What is the origin of the term Black Swan?<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The black swan theory was put forward by author and investor Nassim Nicholas Taleb in 2001.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The term is also linked to the discovery of black swans. Europeans believed all swans to be white until 1697 when a Dutch explorer spotted the first black swan in Australia. Hence, the metaphor \u2018black swan event\u2019 is derived from this unprecedented spotting from the 17th century and how it upended the West\u2019s understanding of swans.<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>Have Black Swan Events occurred in the past?<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to Nicholas Taleb, the past Black Swan events are <strong>1)<\/strong> The 2008 global financial crisis \u2013 triggered by a sudden crash in the booming housing market in the US, <strong>2)<\/strong> The fall of the Soviet Union and <strong>3)<\/strong> The terrorist attack in the US on September 11, 2001.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On Covid-19, Taleb called it a \u201cwhite swan\u201d event arguing that it was predictable and there was no excuse for companies and governments not to be prepared for something like this.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Source: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The post is based on the article<\/span><b> \u201cExplained: What is a black swan event?<\/b><b>\u201d <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">published in<\/span><b> Indian Express <\/b>on<b> 20th June 2022.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What is the News? A study by the Reserve Bank of India(RBI) has spoken about the possibility of capital outflows to the tune of $100 billion from India in case of a major global risk scenario or a \u201cBlack Swan\u201d event. What is Black Swan Event? A Black Swan is a rare, unpredictable event that&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/explained-what-is-a-black-swan-event\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Explained: What is a black swan event?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10317,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1566,164,9],"tags":[10500],"class_list":["post-191574","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-daily-factly-articles","category-international-relations-daily-factly-articles","category-public","tag-indian-express","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/191574","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10317"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=191574"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/191574\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=191574"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=191574"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=191574"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}