{"id":221498,"date":"2023-01-07T20:07:31","date_gmt":"2023-01-07T14:37:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.forumias.com\/?p=221498"},"modified":"2023-01-07T20:07:31","modified_gmt":"2023-01-07T14:37:31","slug":"strategic-space-diffidence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/strategic-space-diffidence\/","title":{"rendered":"Strategic space &#038; diffidence"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Source<\/strong>&#8211; The post is based on the article <strong>\u201cStrategic space &amp; diffidence\u201d <\/strong>published in the <strong>Business Standard <\/strong>on <strong>7th January 2023<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Syllabus: <\/strong>GS2- International relations<\/p>\n<p><strong>Relevance<\/strong>&#8211; External challenges and its management by Indian strategic establishment<\/p>\n<p><strong>News<\/strong>&#8211; The article explains the external security environment of India. It also explains India strategic outlook on issues impacting its national interest<\/p>\n<h5><strong>What are different scanerios around external security environmenmt of India?<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p><strong>First scenario<\/strong>&#8211; There is <strong>relative stability<\/strong> on the border with China. Pakistan is facing <strong>internal challenges<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>India\u2019s alliances <\/strong>with the west and the east are becoming more durable. They are bound by the glue of the common threat of China.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Second scenario<\/strong>&#8211; The Chinese are <strong>consolidating <\/strong>their position and the Modi government has failed to deter them <strong>militarily or diplomatically<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Pakistan will get over its <strong>internal issues <\/strong>eventually and get back to its usual business. China and Pakistan continue to be <strong>close allies<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chinese aggression<\/strong> has compelled India to move its firepower to the northern front. It will provide comfort to Pakistan on western front.<\/p>\n<p>India\u2019s <strong>Western allies<\/strong> will remain much too invested in Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Third scenario<\/strong>&#8211; Both countries are now fully deployed and any <strong>quick, low-cost military gains<\/strong> are not possible. Fresh border disputes will bring <strong>bad reputation<\/strong> to aggressor internationally.<\/p>\n<p>But things could change dramatically if there is a resolution of Ukraine war. Then China can return to <strong>bullying behaviour<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Biggest limitation of Pakistan is its <strong>weak economy<\/strong>. After Sri Lanka, Pakistan\u2019s is the most <strong>bankrupt economy<\/strong> in the region. it has to manage a large army, maintain internal stability amid rising inflation and joblessness, manage an <strong>adversarial relationship<\/strong> with a growing India.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Economic frustrations<\/strong> will fuel support for a <strong>populist leader<\/strong> like Imran.<\/p>\n<p>This scenario shows that <strong>strategic situation<\/strong> around India has neither improved nor worsened. It\u2019s gone into a rare <strong>long and useful stalemate<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The situation of stability will end sooner rather than later. while this affords India some rare strategic breathing time, we should not will waste it.<\/p>\n<p>This is the time to look to the future, accelerate the changes, and <strong>fast-forward the reforms<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h5><strong>What has been change in strategic outlook of India after Modi government coming to power?<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>Since 2014, the Modi government has instituted a significant change in its <strong>strategic position<\/strong>. India is no longer hesitate about being seen in <strong>alliances<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>India <strong>old sensitivities<\/strong> still remain. India is the only <strong>Quad memeber<\/strong> unwilling to talk about the grouping\u2019s <strong>military dimension<\/strong>. The equation with Russia is being managed <strong>sensitively<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Most of I<strong>ndo-pacific allies<\/strong> have clearly stated, public, <strong>national security strategies<\/strong>. They also have I<strong>ndo-Pacific strategies<\/strong>. India is only power with no stated <strong>national or Indo-Pacific strategy<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>India is not able to craft a <strong>national strategic policy<\/strong> because of its location and live land borders. It\u2019s also a challenge to find the resources to raise India\u2019s <strong>maritime power<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Source&#8211; The post is based on the article \u201cStrategic space &amp; diffidence\u201d published in the Business Standard on 7th January 2023. Syllabus: GS2- International relations Relevance&#8211; External challenges and its management by Indian strategic establishment News&#8211; The article explains the external security environment of India. It also explains India strategic outlook on issues impacting its&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/strategic-space-diffidence\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Strategic space &#038; diffidence<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10320,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1230,9],"tags":[10503,212],"class_list":["post-221498","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-9-pm-daily-articles","category-public","tag-business-standard","tag-gs-paper-2","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":{"total":0,"cached_at":"","cached_date":1704755982},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/221498","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10320"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=221498"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/221498\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=221498"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=221498"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=221498"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}