{"id":223309,"date":"2023-01-20T20:48:20","date_gmt":"2023-01-20T15:18:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.forumias.com\/?p=223309"},"modified":"2023-02-20T18:52:04","modified_gmt":"2023-02-20T13:22:04","slug":"prioritising-stability-over-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/prioritising-stability-over-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"Prioritising stability over growth"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Source<\/strong>&#8211; The post is based on the article <strong>\u201cPrioritising stability over growth\u201d <\/strong>published in the <strong>Business Standard <\/strong>on <strong>20th January 2023<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Syllabus: <\/strong>GS3- Indian economy and issues relating to growth<\/p>\n<p><strong>Relevance<\/strong>&#8211; Issues related to fiscal policy<\/p>\n<p><strong>News<\/strong>&#8211; The article explains the economic outlook for India. It also provide some suggestions for the upcoming budget<\/p>\n<h2><strong>What is the economic outlook for India?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Positive side<\/strong>&#8211; The <strong>National Statistical Office<\/strong> forecast a 7% gross domestic product growth for 2022-23. The threat presented by the Covid is relatively very low.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Negative side<\/strong>&#8211; <strong>Combined fiscal deficit<\/strong> of around 10%. The <strong>current account deficit <\/strong>projected at over 3.5%, and <strong>core inflation<\/strong> sticking to 6% can not be a very good sign for the economy. NSO\u2019s forecast figures for the current year are subject to revision.<\/p>\n<p>On the international front, there is uncertainty about the<strong> Russia-Ukraine conflict<\/strong>. Many economists are predicting an i<strong>mminent global recession<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>What are some suggestions for the upcoming budget?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>It would be wise to have policies which favour <strong>financial and economic stability<\/strong> over growth aspirations in the near term. The temptation to <strong>loosen fiscal policy<\/strong> should be resisted at this stage.<\/p>\n<p>The government should contain its <strong>revenue expenditure<\/strong>. The Union Budget on February 1 will be followed by state governments\u2019 budgets. The Government of India needs to set the right example by not yielding to populist demands.<\/p>\n<p>As for the <strong>capital expenditure<\/strong>, the increased government spending in the last few years hasn\u2019t resulted in the desired results. It is likely to result in <strong>\u201ccrowding out\u201d<\/strong> of the private sector borrowings. It will be prudent to not increase the <strong>government capital expenditure allocations<\/strong> for 2023-24 beyond the current year\u2019s level.<\/p>\n<p>The government should refrain from setting an <strong>unrealistic target for divestment revenue receipts<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The government shouldn\u2019t depend on <strong>divestment proceeds<\/strong> to meet its revenue requirements. The government needs to prioritise <strong>corporate governance improvements<\/strong> in the public sector enterprises.<\/p>\n<p>The Budget should announce the government\u2019s plan to improve the <strong>IBC\u2019s efficacy<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The government should not provide <strong>tariff duty protection<\/strong> to the various sectors of domestic industry without solid reasoning. Sincere efforts are needed to bring to conclude <strong>crucial free trade agreements<\/strong>, which have been under negotiations for several years.<\/p>\n<p>The<strong> capital gains tax regime<\/strong> needs an overhaul. During the last few years, the capital gains tax rates have been frequently changed in an ad hoc manner. There is a\u00a0 need to <strong>simplify and rationalise the existing capital gains tax framework<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Source&#8211; The post is based on the article \u201cPrioritising stability over growth\u201d published in the Business Standard on 20th January 2023. Syllabus: GS3- Indian economy and issues relating to growth Relevance&#8211; Issues related to fiscal policy News&#8211; The article explains the economic outlook for India. It also provide some suggestions for the upcoming budget What&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/prioritising-stability-over-growth\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Prioritising stability over growth<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10320,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1230,9],"tags":[10503,216],"class_list":["post-223309","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-9-pm-daily-articles","category-public","tag-business-standard","tag-gs-paper-3","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":{"total":0,"cached_at":1700793287,"cached_date":1704635908},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/223309","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10320"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=223309"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/223309\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=223309"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=223309"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=223309"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}