{"id":249651,"date":"2023-06-26T21:02:16","date_gmt":"2023-06-26T15:32:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.forumias.com\/?p=249651"},"modified":"2023-08-31T16:25:06","modified_gmt":"2023-08-31T10:55:06","slug":"why-taiwan-strait-matters-to-india","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/why-taiwan-strait-matters-to-india\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Taiwan Strait Matters To India"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Source-<\/strong> The post is based on the article <strong>\u201cWhy Taiwan Strait Matters To India\u201d<\/strong> published in<strong> \u201cThe Times of India\u201d<\/strong> on 26th June 2023.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Syllabus:<\/strong> GS2- International relations<\/p>\n<p><strong>Relevance-<\/strong> Regional and global; issues impacting strategic interest of India<\/p>\n<p><strong>News- <\/strong>The article explains the possibility of a crisis in Taiwan strait and its implications for India.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>What is the possibility of conflict in Taiwan strait?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Conflict is not inevitable. A <strong>crisis short of conflict in the Taiwan Strait<\/strong> is a likely possibility. China can utilise a range of<strong> grey-zone warfare tactics<\/strong>, from disruption of surface and aerial movement in the strait to an <strong>imposed quarantine<\/strong>. It will have <strong>geopolitical and economic consequences <\/strong>across the Indo-Pacific.<\/p>\n<p>Today the US no longer has <strong>deterrence capability,<\/strong> and the Chinese have <strong>formidable economic and military capacities<\/strong> to initiate a crisis.<\/p>\n<p>China would destroy its own economy to seize Taiwan because governments have not always <strong>acted rationally<\/strong> where <strong>critical interests or feelings<\/strong> are involved.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>What will be the implications of the crisis in Taiwan for India?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Any disruption in the general area of Taiwan will have severe<strong> direct and second-order effects<\/strong>. It could have an impact on <strong>India\u2019s geopolitical and economic security.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Half of India\u2019s trade flows to our east. <strong>Disruption in global shipping<\/strong> beyond the Malacca Strait could have a <strong>crippling impact on our exports.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If shipping is disrupted, it will have a<strong> consequential impact on supply chains<\/strong>. Key segments of Indian industry, including <strong>important export sectors<\/strong> like pharmaceuticals and electronics, are heavily dependent on the supply chain. Thus, It will impact <strong>Indian exports to western markets.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The possible disruptions in semiconductor supplies could potentially <strong>paralyse industry, especially services<\/strong>, from l<strong>ogistics supply chains to e-commerce platforms.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Disruption of submarine cables could impact the<strong> flow of data between India and Silicon Valley<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>A <strong>Rhodium Group study for Western governments<\/strong> in 2022 documented the devastating impact of a Taiwan crisis on productivity, employment and national security.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>What is the way forward for India to limit the possibilities of conflict in Taiwan strait?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>India urgently needs to undertake a <strong>comprehensive analysis of the possibility of crisis <\/strong>in Taiwan strait. It should comprehensively cover <strong>all sectors of economy and society.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The objective should be to identify <strong>potential impacts<\/strong> of the disruption in the Taiwan Strait area and develop <strong>options to mitigate the crisis<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>India should put this issue on the agenda in <strong>consultations with key partners<\/strong>. There will be differences, but we might agree on several points towards <strong>stabilising the situation.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>India\u2019s <strong>multi-aligned approach <\/strong>to foreign policy permits it to have <strong>conversations with diverse players <\/strong>like Asean, EU, Japan, Republic of Korea and the south Pacific states. They have <strong>vital stakes<\/strong> in that region.<\/p>\n<p>The <strong>Global South\u2019s respect for India <\/strong>could be harnessed for peace. A Taiwan crisis could impact the <strong>economically vulnerable Global South <\/strong>the hardest. India could <strong>build awareness<\/strong> in the <strong>Global South<\/strong> about the consequences of such a crisis.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Source- The post is based on the article \u201cWhy Taiwan Strait Matters To India\u201d published in \u201cThe Times of India\u201d on 26th June 2023. Syllabus: GS2- International relations Relevance- Regional and global; issues impacting strategic interest of India News- The article explains the possibility of a crisis in Taiwan strait and its implications for India.&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/why-taiwan-strait-matters-to-india\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Why Taiwan Strait Matters To India<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10320,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1230,9],"tags":[212,239,238,10496],"class_list":["post-249651","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-9-pm-daily-articles","category-public","tag-gs-paper-2","tag-international-relations","tag-ir","tag-times-of-india","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/249651","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10320"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=249651"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/249651\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=249651"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=249651"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=249651"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}