{"id":280546,"date":"2024-01-31T19:46:45","date_gmt":"2024-01-31T14:16:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/?p=280546"},"modified":"2024-02-01T17:41:45","modified_gmt":"2024-02-01T12:11:45","slug":"on-chinas-relative-economic-decline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/on-chinas-relative-economic-decline\/","title":{"rendered":"On China\u2019s Relative Economic Decline"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-280662 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/On-Chinas-Relative-Economic-Decline.webp?resize=465%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"465\" height=\"363\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/On-Chinas-Relative-Economic-Decline.webp?resize=300%2C234&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/On-Chinas-Relative-Economic-Decline.webp?resize=1024%2C800&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/On-Chinas-Relative-Economic-Decline.webp?resize=768%2C600&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/On-Chinas-Relative-Economic-Decline.webp?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 465px) 100vw, 465px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Source:<\/strong> This post on China\u2019s Relative Economic Decline has been created based on the article <strong>\u201cC Raja Mohan writes: India\u2019s new possibilities amid China\u2019s relative economic decline\u201d<\/strong> published in <strong>\u201cIndian Express\u201d<\/strong> on 31<sup>st<\/sup> January 2024.<\/p>\n<p><strong>UPSC Syllabus Topic: <\/strong>GS Paper 2 International Relations \u2013 Effect of policies and politics of developed and developing countries on India\u2019s interests.<\/p>\n<p><strong>On China\u2019s Relative Economic Decline<\/strong>, The article discusses the reasons for the relative economic decline of China. It highlights its consequences on the world, especially India.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Background:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Experts have recently highlighted the irreversible decline of China\u2019s share of the global GDP. They believe that China has peaked economically. However, many don\u2019t agree with the notion and point to the strengths of the Chinese economy and growing technological and military power.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>What are The Reasons for The Relative Economic Decline of China?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>China\u2019s share in the world\u2019s GDP rose from about 2% in 1990 to about 18.4% in 2021. It is now <strong>down to 17%.<\/strong> This is due to several factors such as:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Demographic decline. For instance, China\u2019s share of the world\u2019s working-age population has been falling for a decade and is about 19% and will come down to 10% in 30 years.<\/li>\n<li>Chinese government\u2019s anti-market interventions.<\/li>\n<li>High levels of debt.<\/li>\n<li>Declining worker productivity.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2><strong>What Might Be The Consequences of China\u2019s Relative Economic Decline?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Two important immediate implications for the world order stand out.<\/p>\n<p>1) <strong>Unlikely Bipolar World:<\/strong> The g<strong>r<\/strong>owing gap between USA and China (due to the unlikelihood of China overtaking US GDP) means that a bipolar or G2 world is unlikely.<\/p>\n<p>2) <strong>Multipolar Asia: <\/strong>Until recently, the notion of a China-centred Asia seemed inevitable. China\u2019s relative decline now suggests that Asia has other alternatives. The faster economic growth in India, Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines suggests that a \u201cmultipolar Asia\u201d is possible.<\/p>\n<p>3) <strong>China-US Relations: <\/strong>China and the US could soften its stance towards the US due to their delicate geopolitical situations.<\/p>\n<p>4) <strong>China-India Relations:<\/strong> India can steadily reduce the economic gap with China in this case. This will help it cope with Chinese power more confidently if it continues to build on its national capabilities and strengthens the Quad and other regional coalitions.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Want To Read More Topics-<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><a title=\"Annual Status of Education Report (ASER) 2023 - Explained Pointwise\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/annual-status-of-education-report-aser-2023-explained-pointwise\/\">Annual Status of Education Report (ASER) 2023 &#8211;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Issues with EVs, and possible hybrid solution\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/issues-with-evs-and-possible-hybrid-solution\/\">Issues with EVs, and possible hybrid solution<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>What are The Lessons for India from This Issue?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>One<\/strong>, USA is not declining and fading away, despite multiple challenges.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Second<\/strong>, there are limits to China\u2019s rise.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Third<\/strong>, the <strong>growth of China\u2019s Asian neighbours<\/strong> has made the region more internally balanced.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Four<\/strong>, if India can build on its strengths, and avoid China\u2019s mistakes, it can thrive amid the unfolding power shift.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Question for practice:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>What are the reasons for the relative economic decline of China? What might be the consequences of China\u2019s slowdown on global geopolitics and India?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Source: This post on China\u2019s Relative Economic Decline has been created based on the article \u201cC Raja Mohan writes: India\u2019s new possibilities amid China\u2019s relative economic decline\u201d published in \u201cIndian Express\u201d on 31st January 2024. UPSC Syllabus Topic: GS Paper 2 International Relations \u2013 Effect of policies and politics of developed and developing countries on&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/on-chinas-relative-economic-decline\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">On China\u2019s Relative Economic Decline<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10320,"featured_media":280662,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1230,1235],"tags":[212,10500,239],"class_list":["post-280546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-9-pm-daily-articles","category-international-relations","tag-gs-paper-2","tag-indian-express","tag-international-relations","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/On-Chinas-Relative-Economic-Decline.webp?fit=1280%2C1000&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/280546","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10320"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=280546"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/280546\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/280662"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=280546"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=280546"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=280546"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}