{"id":287506,"date":"2024-03-19T19:00:51","date_gmt":"2024-03-19T13:30:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/?p=287506"},"modified":"2024-03-19T18:25:16","modified_gmt":"2024-03-19T12:55:16","slug":"indias-nuclear-deterrence-and-agni-v-explained-pointwise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/indias-nuclear-deterrence-and-agni-v-explained-pointwise\/","title":{"rendered":"India&#8217;s Nuclear Deterrence and Agni-V- Explained Pointwise"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">successful test<\/span> of Agni-V ballistic missile dubbed as <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Mission<\/span> &#8216;<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Divyastra<\/span>&#8216; is a <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">watershed moment<\/span> in the development of India&#8217;s Nuclear Deterrence capabilities. Agni-V&#8217;s impressive range of 5000 kms and enhanced potency due to <a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/mission-divyastra-agni-v-missile-with-mirv-technology\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Multiple Independently Targetable Re-entry Vehicles (MIRVs)<\/a>, has bolstered India&#8217;s nuclear Deterrence.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_287612\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-287612\" style=\"width: 750px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-287612\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/3-Coloum-Paragraph-Mind-Map-300-x-297-mm-11.png?resize=750%2C743&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"India's Nuclear Deterrence and Agni V\" width=\"750\" height=\"743\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/3-Coloum-Paragraph-Mind-Map-300-x-297-mm-11.png?resize=1024%2C1014&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/3-Coloum-Paragraph-Mind-Map-300-x-297-mm-11.png?resize=300%2C297&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/3-Coloum-Paragraph-Mind-Map-300-x-297-mm-11.png?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/3-Coloum-Paragraph-Mind-Map-300-x-297-mm-11.png?resize=768%2C760&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/3-Coloum-Paragraph-Mind-Map-300-x-297-mm-11.png?resize=1536%2C1521&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/3-Coloum-Paragraph-Mind-Map-300-x-297-mm-11.png?resize=1568%2C1552&amp;ssl=1 1568w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/3-Coloum-Paragraph-Mind-Map-300-x-297-mm-11.png?w=2000&amp;ssl=1 2000w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-287612\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Created By Forum IAS<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<table style=\"width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; border-style: solid;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 100%; text-align: center;\"><strong>Table of Content<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\"><a href=\"#toc1\">What is Nuclear Deterrence? Where does it fit in India&#8217;s Nuclear Policy?<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#toc2\">How has India&#8217;s Nuclear Deterrence developed over the years?<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#toc3\">What is the Significance of Agni V missile?<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#toc4\">What are the Challenges to India&#8217;s development of deterrence capabilities?<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#toc5\">What Should be the Way Forward?<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><a id=\"toc1\"><\/a>What is Nuclear Deterrence? Where does it fit in India&#8217;s Nuclear Policy?<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>Nuclear Deterrence-<\/strong><\/span> Nuclear deterrence is a <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">strategy employed by states possessing nuclear weapons<\/span> to <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">prevent adversaries from initiating a nuclear attack<\/span> by convincing them that the costs and consequences of such an attack would outweigh any potential benefits.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>Principle Behind Nuclear Deterrence-<\/strong><\/span> Nuclear Deterrence operates on the principle of <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Mutually Assured Destruction<\/span> (<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">MAD<\/span>), where both sides possess sufficient nuclear capabilities to inflict unacceptable damage on each other, thereby deterring any hostile actions.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>India&#8217;s Nuclear Policy and Nuclear Deterrence<\/strong>&#8211;<\/span> Maintenance of credible nuclear deterrence is one of the foremost priorities of India&#8217;s Nuclear Policy.<br \/>\n<strong>a. Credible Minimum Deterrence-<\/strong> India would maintain a sufficient number of nuclear weapons to deter a nuclear attack, but it would not seek to match other countries\u2019 arsenals in size.<br \/>\n<strong>b. Retaliation to a Nuclear Attack-<\/strong> If India is subject to a nuclear attack, it would retaliate, causing massive damage to the aggressor.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong><a id=\"toc2\"><\/a>How has India&#8217;s Nuclear Deterrence developed over the years?<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Development of India&#8217;s Nuclear Deterrence<\/strong><\/p>\n<table style=\"width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; border-style: solid;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 13.158%;\"><span style=\"color: #333333;\"><strong>1947<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 86.842%;\"><span style=\"color: #333333;\">Post Independence, India pursued development of nuclear weapons capability, particularly in <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">light of regional tensions<\/span> and the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">emergence of nuclear-armed neighbours<\/span>, namely <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">China<\/span> and <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Pakistan<\/span>.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 13.158%;\"><strong>1974<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 86.842%;\">India conducted its first nuclear test, codenamed &#8216;<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Smiling<\/span> <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Buddha<\/span>&#8216;. This test demonstrated India&#8217;s nuclear deterrence capabilities.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 13.158%;\"><strong>1974-1998<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 86.842%;\">During this phase, <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">India maintained nuclear ambiguity<\/span>, <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">neither confirming nor denying the possession<\/span> of nuclear weapons. This ambiguity served as a form of deterrence, maintaining uncertainty about India&#8217;s nuclear status.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 13.158%;\"><strong>1998<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 86.842%;\">The <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Pokhran Tests of 1998<\/span>, which comprised of five nuclear detonations, both fission and fusion, marked India&#8217;s evolution as a nuclear weapons state.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 13.158%;\"><strong>After 1998 Tests<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 86.842%;\">Following the 1998 tests, India outlined its Nuclear Doctrine. The key elements of India&#8217;s nuclear doctrine include a <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">No First Use<\/span> (NFU) policy, <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">minimum credible deterrence<\/span>, and <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">retaliation<\/span> only in the event of a nuclear attack. India also established Strategic Forces Command (SFC) to oversee the management, deployment, and operational control of India&#8217;s nuclear forces.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong>Modernization and Missile Development Efforts for Nuclear Deterrence<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>India has pursued an extensive missile development program as part of its nuclear deterrence strategy. These efforts have aimed to enhance its capability to deliver nuclear weapons effectively and establish a credible nuclear deterrence posture.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; border-style: solid;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 21.7576%; text-align: center;\" colspan=\"2\"><strong>Land Based Deterrence<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 21.7576%;\"><strong>Agni Series<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 78.2424%;\">The Agni <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">series of ballistic missiles<\/span> are among India&#8217;s most prominent strategic weapons. The series includes <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Agni-I<\/span> (<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">700-1,250 km range<\/span>), <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Agni-II<\/span> (<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">2,000-3,000 km range<\/span>), <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Agni-III<\/span> (<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">3,000-5,000 km range<\/span>), <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Agni-IV<\/span> (<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">4,000 km range<\/span>), and <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Agni-V<\/span> (<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">5,000 range<\/span>). Agni-V, intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) with Multiple Independent Re-entry Vehicles, capable of reaching targets as far as Europe and China.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 21.7576%;\"><strong>Prithvi Series<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 78.2424%;\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Developed by DRDO<\/span>, the Prithvi series comprises short-range ballistic missiles designed for tactical use. These missiles, including<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"> Prithvi I<\/span> (<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">150 km range<\/span>) and <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Prithvi II<\/span> (<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">250-350 km range<\/span>), <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">can carry both conventional <span style=\"color: #333333;\">and<\/span> nuclear warheads<\/span>, providing India with a flexible deterrence option against regional threats.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 21.7576%;\"><strong>Shaurya<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 78.2424%;\">Shaurya is a <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">land-based hypersonic missile<\/span> developed by India, designed to <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">deliver nuclear payloads with precision at hypersonic speeds<\/span>. Its <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">range is around 700-1,000 km<\/span>, enhancing India&#8217;s deterrence capabilities by introducing a fast and maneuverable delivery system.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 21.7576%; text-align: center;\" colspan=\"2\"><strong>Sea Based Deterrence<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 21.7576%;\"><strong>INS Arihant<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 78.2424%;\">India\u2019s <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">first indigenous Ballistic Missile Submarine<\/span> (SSBN). There has been test-firing of nuclear-capable submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) from the Arihant in October 2022. This has added to India&#8217;s nuclear deterrence capabilities.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 21.7576%;\"><strong>S-4<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 78.2424%;\">It is India\u2019s <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">third indigenous<\/span> nuclear ballistic missile submarine (SSBN) after <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">INS Arihant<\/span> and <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Arighat<\/span>. The S-4 submarine is bigger than the INS Arihant and Arighat, with <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">more space<\/span> for<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"> nuclear-tipped ballistic missiles<\/span>.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 21.7576%; text-align: center;\" colspan=\"2\"><strong>Air Based Deterrence<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 21.7576%;\"><strong>Rafale aircraft<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 78.2424%;\">The induction of the Rafale aircraft has provided the Indian Air Force with a sophisticated aircraft with nuclear-warhead-carrying capability.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong><a id=\"toc3\"><\/a>What is the Significance of Agni V missile?<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>1)\u00a0<strong>Enhanced nuclear deterrence against adversaries like China-<\/strong> Agni-category missiles form the backbone of India\u2019s land-based nuclear deterrence. The missile is the core of the India&#8217;s deterrence in the larger context of the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Sino-Indian power equation<\/span>. <strong>For ex-<\/strong> China&#8217;s <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Hong qi\u00a0(HQ-19) ground-based ballistic missile interceptors<\/span>, cannot intercept MIRV Capable Agni-V carrying multiple nuclear warheads.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2) Enhanced Nuclear retaliation to first strike-<\/strong> Agni-V helps us develop the<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"> credible nuclear retaliation after the first strike<\/span>, as India\u2019s nuclear doctrine commits to \u201cno first use\u201d. This retaliation with the help of MIRV capable Agni-V would <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">inflict maximum damage<\/span> to the other warring side.<\/p>\n<p>3)<strong> Intercontinental Range Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Club- <\/strong>Agni-V&#8217;s range of <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">5,000km (about 3106.86 mi) can bring the farthest parts of China and even some of Europe<\/span> within India\u2019s strike radius. The development of this rocket has put India in the nations developing Intercontinental Range Ballistic Missile with increased ranges.<\/p>\n<p>4) <strong>Boost to India&#8217;s defence capabilities<\/strong>-India\u2019s defence arsenal has received a significant boost with Agni-V induction.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; border-style: solid;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\">Read More- <a href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/agni-5-trial-a-blast-off-for-superior-deterrence\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Agni-5 trial: A blast-off for superior deterrence<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong><a id=\"toc4\"><\/a>What are the Challenges to India&#8217;s development of deterrence capabilities?<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>1) Inadequate nuclear testing facilities-<\/strong> The lack of sufficient testing <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">undermines<\/span> the extent to which the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">re-entry vehicles could be designed to carry the warheads<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2) Opacity surrounding the warhead numbers-<\/strong> There is opacity around the number of warheads Agni-V, can carry due to its classified nature. However, specialists suspect that it at present,<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"> it can carry at most only three warheads<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>3) Low yield of the nuclear Warheads-<\/strong> There are concerns that the<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"> yield of the nuclear warheads will be limited<\/span> due to the small number of atomic tests conducted by India.<\/p>\n<p><strong>4) Problems with Sea based nuclear deterrence-<\/strong> There are problems of <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">deep-sea communications with SSBN<\/span> because the very low-frequency systems in use on the submarine are prone to disruption at great depths.<\/p>\n<p><strong>5) Swift Expansion of Chinese Nuclear Arsenals-<\/strong> Beijing has been making <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">brisk advancements<\/span> with its missile and missile defence programmes.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong><a id=\"toc5\"><\/a>What Should be the Way Forward?<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>1. Early testing of long-range Submarine Launched Ballistic Missile (SLBM)-<\/strong> India must add punch to its nuclear arsenal by testing its<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"> long-range Submarine Launched Ballistic Missile (SLBM)<\/span> which can be launched by its <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">nuclear submarines<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2. Investment in Missile Defence Systems-<\/strong> To counter the growing threat from China\u2019s modernizing nuclear arsenal, India should invest in developing and deploying advanced missile defence systems, like <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">expediting development of Agni VI<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>3. Strengthening of Conventional Capabilities-<\/strong> While maintaining a credible nuclear deterrent, India <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">should also focus on strengthening its conventional military capabilities<\/span>. This can help deter conventional conflicts that may escalate to the nuclear level.<\/p>\n<p><strong>4. Cooperation with Allies-<\/strong> India should continue to cooperate with its allies and partners, such as the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">United States<\/span>, to deter potential aggressors. This could involve <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">sharing intelligence<\/span>, <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">conducting joint military exercises<\/span>, and <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">coordinating on defence strategies<\/span>.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; border-style: solid;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\">Read More- <a href=\"https:\/\/epaper.thehindu.com\/ccidist-ws\/th\/th_delhi\/issues\/75810\/OPS\/GRPCIA7QH.1+GNLCICHON.1.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Hindu<\/a><br \/>\nUPSC Syllabus- GS 3- India&#8217;s achievement in Science and Tech<br \/>\nGS 2- India and its neighbourhood relations<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The successful test of Agni-V ballistic missile dubbed as Mission &#8216;Divyastra&#8216; is a watershed moment in the development of India&#8217;s Nuclear Deterrence capabilities. Agni-V&#8217;s impressive range of 5000 kms and enhanced potency due to Multiple Independently Targetable Re-entry Vehicles (MIRVs), has bolstered India&#8217;s nuclear Deterrence. Table of Content What is Nuclear Deterrence? Where does it&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/indias-nuclear-deterrence-and-agni-v-explained-pointwise\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">India&#8217;s Nuclear Deterrence and Agni-V- Explained Pointwise<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10357,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[130,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-287506","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-7-pm","category-uncategorized","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/287506","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10357"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=287506"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/287506\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=287506"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=287506"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=287506"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}