{"id":311955,"date":"2024-10-01T19:21:21","date_gmt":"2024-10-01T13:51:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/?p=311955"},"modified":"2024-10-01T19:21:21","modified_gmt":"2024-10-01T13:51:21","slug":"israel-lebanon-war-impacts-and-way-forward-explained-pointwise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/israel-lebanon-war-impacts-and-way-forward-explained-pointwise\/","title":{"rendered":"Israel Lebanon War \u2013 Impacts and Way forward- Explained Pointwise"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The ongoing <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Israel Lebanon war<\/span> has escalated significantly in recent weeks. Israel has <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">intensified its military operations against Hezbollah<\/span>, and has launched a series of airstrikes across Lebanon. Israel has conducted over 1,300 strikes targeting Hezbollah strongholds and military installations. The escalation of conflict into a full-blown war, has led to widespread violence (killing of around 600 lebanese) and has created a humanitarian crisis in Lebanon.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_312006\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-312006\" style=\"width: 500px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-312006\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Israel-Lebanon-war.png?resize=500%2C275&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Israel Lebanon war\" width=\"500\" height=\"275\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Israel-Lebanon-war.png?resize=300%2C165&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Israel-Lebanon-war.png?resize=768%2C423&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Israel-Lebanon-war.png?w=986&amp;ssl=1 986w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-312006\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source- The Indian Express<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<table style=\"width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; border-style: solid;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 100%; text-align: center;\"><strong>Table of Content<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\"><a href=\"#toc1\">What is the background of Israel Lebanon wars?<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#toc2\">What are the Global impacts of the escalation of Israel Lebanon war?<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#toc3\">What will be the impact of the Israel Lebanon Conflict on India?<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#toc4\">What should be the Way Forward?<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong><a id=\"toc1\"><\/a>What is the background of Israel Lebanon wars?<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The Israel-Lebanon conflict has been marked by a series of wars and clashes, with the most notable of these conflicts being the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">1982 Lebanon War<\/span>, the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">2006 Lebanon War<\/span>.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; border-style: solid;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 18.273%;\"><strong>Hezbollah<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 81.727%;\">Hezbollah plays a central role in the Israel-Lebanon conflict. Hezbollah is a <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Shiite militant group<\/span> and <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">political party<\/span> based in Lebanon. Hezbollah was founded in the early 1980s, with support from Iran, following Israel&#8217;s invasion of Lebanon in 1982.<br \/>\nHezbollah has grown into a <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">powerful force in Lebanese politics<\/span> and maintains a <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">military wing<\/span> that regularly clashes with Israeli forces. Israel views Hezbollah as a major security threat due to its military capabilities, leading to regular Lebanese skirmishes.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 18.273%;\"><strong>Israeli Invasions<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 81.727%;\">Israel has conducted several military operations in Lebanon. The most significant is the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">1982 invasion<\/span>. Israel Invasions in southern Lebanon has been initially driven by aim to destroy Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) in the 1990s and now against Hezbollah in recent years.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong>Other factors in the Israel-Lebanon Civil War<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>1. Shebaa Farms Dispute-<\/strong> <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Shebaa Farms<\/span>, which is located at the intersection of Lebanon, Israel, and Syria. It remains a <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">point of contention between Hezbollah and Israel<\/span>, after Israeli occupation of the territory.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2. Iran-Israel Proxy War-<\/strong> Iran\u2019s financial and military support for Hezbollah, is another key factor in the ongoing Israel-Lebanon conflict. Israel views Hezbollah as an extension of Iranian influence in the region.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong><a id=\"toc2\"><\/a>What are the Global impacts of the escalation of Israel Lebanon war?<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>1. Disruption the geopolitical realignment Process in Middle East-<\/strong> Middle East in recent times has been witnessing geopolitical realignments from the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Israel-Arab reconciliation to the Iran-Saudi d\u00e9tente.\u00a0<span style=\"color: #333333;\">However, the recent Israel-Palestine conflict and Israel-Lebanon conflict has disrupted the peace and normalisation process in Middle East<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #333333;\">2. Middle East as the theatre of Warfare-<\/span> <\/strong>Middle East had been a theatre of War with Wars like <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Gulf War, Iraq war, 6 day war.<\/span> The recent Israel-Palestine conflict has potential to become a full-blown war with involvement of foreign powers like US, EU. This has also made the region a theatre for proxy wars like US and Iran.<\/p>\n<p><strong>3. Disruption of the global connectivity projects and global transport routes- <\/strong>The envisaged projects like <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">India Middle East Economic Corridor (IMEC)<\/span> have been disrupted by the prolonged conflict in West Asia. The escalation of the Israel Lebanon conflict endangers the strategic supply routes like the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>4. Disruption of the Global supply chains and increased Inflation-<\/strong> The escalation of the conflict impacts the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">oil production and supply chain of goods<\/span>. This will further increase global inflation, which has already been rattling the world economy.<\/p>\n<p><strong>5. Increased Radicalization in the Middle East-<\/strong> The conflict could serve as a <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">rallying point for extremist groups across the Middle East and beyond<\/span>. Groups like al-Qaeda or ISIS might use the conflict as an opportunity to recruit new members, by framing the war as a broader jihad against Israel and the West.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong><a id=\"toc3\"><\/a>What will be the impact of the Israel Lebanon Conflict on India?<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>1. Impact on De-hypenation and West Asia Policy- <\/strong>India had been successfully implementing its de-hyphenation policy in the region. India&#8217;s relation with both the Arab World and Israel has improved. However, the escalation of the Israel-Lebanon conflict puts<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"> India in a diplomatic tight spot, <span style=\"color: #333333;\">and affects India&#8217;s de-hypenation strategy in the region.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>2. Increase in Inflation-<\/strong> The escalation of the conflict into a full-blown Israel Lebanon war <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">impacts the oil and gas production.<\/span> Inflation in the country will further increase as India is heavily dependent upon imported oil and gas.<\/p>\n<p><strong>3. Depreciation of the Indian Rupee- <\/strong>The conflict <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">impacts the inflow of FPI and FDI in the Indian financial market.<\/span> Increase in oil prices will further increase India&#8217;s Current Account Deficit(CAD). All these will lead to depreciation of the Indian rupee.<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #333333;\">4. Effect on the India Israel Trade- <\/span><\/strong><span style=\"color: #333333;\">Israel is a major defence and strategic partner of India. Involvement of Israel for a long period in the conflict will <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">drastically reduce the trade between India- Israel.<\/span> In FY23, India\u2019s total exports to Israel stood at $8.4 billion, while India\u2019s imports from Israel were at $2.3 billion.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #333333;\">5. Reduction of the remittances from West Asia and safety of Indian emigrants-<\/span><\/strong> India has a <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">large diaspora and emigrant population<\/span> in West Asia. These are a source of large amount of remittance to India(~40 bn dollars). If the conflict turns into a full-blown war across the Middle East, India will be severely impacted. The remittances will plummet. <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Safe Evacuation of the Indian diaspora<\/span> will also be a grave challenge.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong><a id=\"toc4\"><\/a>What should be the Way Forward?<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>1. UNSC must step up- <\/strong>UNSC must broker a <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">peace talk between the two warring fractions<\/span>. Global leadership platforms must be used to not let Middle East become another theatre for warfare.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2. Indirect Negotiations- <\/strong>Indirect talks mediated by third parties, such as the United Nations, the U.S., or European countries, could help lower tensions between Israel and Lebanon.<\/p>\n<p><strong>3. Strengthening UNIFIL\u2019s Role-<\/strong> Strengthening the mandate and capabilities of the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon<\/span> (UNIFIL), which has been tasked with maintaining peace along the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Lebanon-Israel border<\/span>, could help in preventing further conflicts.<\/p>\n<p><strong>4. De-militarization of the Shebaa Farm Area-<\/strong> The Shebaa Farms area could be demilitarized and placed under international control. This will reduce the likelihood of future between Israel-Lebanon conflict over the territory.<\/p>\n<p><strong>5. Engaging Regional Actors-<\/strong> Regional powers like <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Egypt<\/span>, <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Jordan<\/span>, <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Saudi Arabia<\/span>, and <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Qatar<\/span>, as well as the Arab League, could play an important role in mediating the Israel-Palestine conflict and fostering a more peaceful environment.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; border-style: solid;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\">Read More- <a href=\"https:\/\/indianexpress.com\/article\/world\/israel-hezbollah-war-live-updates-9592426\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Indian Express<\/a><br \/>\nUPSC Syllabus- GS2- International Relations<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The ongoing Israel Lebanon war has escalated significantly in recent weeks. Israel has intensified its military operations against Hezbollah, and has launched a series of airstrikes across Lebanon. Israel has conducted over 1,300 strikes targeting Hezbollah strongholds and military installations. The escalation of conflict into a full-blown war, has led to widespread violence (killing of&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/israel-lebanon-war-impacts-and-way-forward-explained-pointwise\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Israel Lebanon War \u2013 Impacts and Way forward- Explained Pointwise<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10357,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[130,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-311955","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-7-pm","category-uncategorized","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/311955","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10357"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=311955"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/311955\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=311955"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=311955"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=311955"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}