{"id":86727,"date":"2019-04-16T17:05:38","date_gmt":"2019-04-16T11:35:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/factly.forumias.com\/?p=3761"},"modified":"2019-04-16T17:05:38","modified_gmt":"2019-04-16T11:35:38","slug":"monsoon-likely-to-be-normal-this-year-says-meteorological-dept","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/monsoon-likely-to-be-normal-this-year-says-meteorological-dept\/","title":{"rendered":"Monsoon likely to be \u2018normal\u2019 this year, says meteorological dept."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has\nsaid monsoon rains are expected to be normal in 2019- 96% of the Long-term average\n(LPA). The IMD defines normal rainfall as between 96% and 104% of the Long\nPeriod Average (LPA). LPA (50year average) of monsoon rains in India is 89 cm.<\/li><li>The IMD issues its first monsoon forecast in\nApril. Then in June, updates are issued. It contains details on how the monsoon\nwill perform in various geographical regions.<\/li><li>IMD\u2019s prediction is contradictory to what\nSkymet, India\u2019s only private weather forecaster has predicted. Skymet has said\nthat it expects the 2019 monsoon rains to be \u201cbelow normal\u201d.<\/li><li>IMD\u2019s optimistic assessment of monsoon rains is\nbased on global climate models which has projected a \u2018weakening El Nino.\u2019 El\nNino refers to the large-scale ocean-atmosphere climate interaction linked to a\nperiodic warming in sea surface temperatures across the central and\neast-central Equatorial Pacific.<\/li><li>A temperature rise greater than 1 degree C for\nthree consecutive months, is considered a \u2018strong\u2019 El Nino. A 0.5C -1C rise is\ncalled \u2018weak El Nino conditions.&nbsp; At\npresent, the El Nino is 0.9 C.<\/li><li>A strong El Nino results in reduction and uneven\ndistribution of rainfall across the Indian sub-continent. This is because the\ntrade winds coming from South America which normally blow westward towards Asia\nduring Southwest Monsoon gets weakened due to the warming of the Pacific Ocean.\nTherefore, moisture and heat content gets limited and this leads to poor\nrainfall in the region.<\/li><\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has said monsoon rains are expected to be normal in 2019- 96% of the Long-term average (LPA). The IMD defines normal rainfall as between 96% and 104% of the Long Period Average (LPA). LPA (50year average) of monsoon rains in India is 89 cm. The IMD issues its first monsoon&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/monsoon-likely-to-be-normal-this-year-says-meteorological-dept\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Monsoon likely to be \u2018normal\u2019 this year, says meteorological dept.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":61,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4182],"tags":[4216,4322],"class_list":["post-86727","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-environment","tag-el-nino","tag-indian-monsoon","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","views":{"total":0,"cached_at":"","cached_date":1704940352},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86727","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/61"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86727"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86727\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86727"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86727"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86727"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}