{"id":1589,"date":"2026-08-09T19:12:10","date_gmt":"2026-08-09T13:42:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/psir-pyq\/given-the-recent-developments-in-the-region-do-you-think-that-upsc-psir-2019-4803\/"},"modified":"2026-08-09T21:56:36","modified_gmt":"2026-08-09T16:26:36","slug":"given-the-recent-developments-in-the-region-do-you-think-that-upsc-psir-2019-4803","status":"publish","type":"psir_pyq","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/psir-pyq\/given-the-recent-developments-in-the-region-do-you-think-that-upsc-psir-2019-4803\/","title":{"rendered":"Given the recent developments in the region, do you think that there is a need to change India\u2019s \u2018No First Use (NFU) nuclear policy?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pq-flow\">\n<div class=\"pq-flow-h\">Flow snapshot <em>&mdash; how the answer moves<\/em><\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-fb\">\n<div class=\"pq-pill p1\"><span>Intro routes<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-ft\">rR! locate NFU (1998 \u2192 2003 doctrine, CBW caveat) \u2192 credible minimum deterrence &#8211; is it now a liability? R2 region shifted (Pak tactical, China rise) &#8211; pressures real \u2014 stake the spine: capability, not first-use posture<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-fb\">\n<div class=\"pq-pill p2\"><span>Body flow<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-ft\">case for revision: China ~500 warheads erode Himalayan buffer + Pak sub-conventional \/ Nasr &gt; Karnad \u201cunenforceable,\u201d peacetime-only + Chari frees Pak\u2019s tactical use &gt; Clary &amp; Narang counterforce logic + exceptions to NFU \u2192 capabilities present (missiles, surveillance, BMD) but disarming strike \u201cexceptionally difficult\u201d \u2192 intent outpaces capability<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-fb\">\n<div class=\"pq-pill p3\"><span>Counter-view<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-ft\">retention holds: Sethi \u201cliberating\u201d (no first-use infra, no hair- trigger) \u00bb Subrahmanyam perception of survivable retaliation, not pre-emption \u2192 Basrur deployment differs little beyond declaratory policy<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-fb\">\n<div class=\"pq-pill p4\"><span>Conclusion routes<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-ft\">rR! Sindoor 2025 = punish terror without nuclear signalling \u2192 read as gradual recalibration + doctrinal ambiguity, not reversal R2 NFU suits conventionally dominant power, no existential threat \u2192 retain + strengthen triad \/ early warning \/ second- strike credibility<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"template":"","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"pyq_year":[37],"pyq_marks":[35],"pyq_topic":[87],"pyq_paper":[69],"class_list":["post-1589","psir_pyq","type-psir_pyq","status-publish","hentry","pyq_year-37","pyq_marks-15-marks","pyq_topic-india-and-the-nuclear-question","pyq_paper-paper-2"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/psir_pyq\/1589","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/psir_pyq"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/psir_pyq"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/psir_pyq\/1589\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2776,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/psir_pyq\/1589\/revisions\/2776"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1589"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"pyq_year","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pyq_year?post=1589"},{"taxonomy":"pyq_marks","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pyq_marks?post=1589"},{"taxonomy":"pyq_topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pyq_topic?post=1589"},{"taxonomy":"pyq_paper","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pyq_paper?post=1589"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}