{"id":1597,"date":"2026-08-09T19:12:12","date_gmt":"2026-08-09T13:42:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/psir-pyq\/the-war-in-afghanistan-is-crucial-from-the-point-of-view-of-upsc-psir-2020-4903\/"},"modified":"2026-08-12T21:25:42","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T15:55:42","slug":"the-war-in-afghanistan-is-crucial-from-the-point-of-view-of-upsc-psir-2020-4903","status":"publish","type":"psir_pyq","link":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/psir-pyq\/the-war-in-afghanistan-is-crucial-from-the-point-of-view-of-upsc-psir-2020-4903\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cThe war in Afghanistan is crucial from the point of view of India\u2019s national security. If the Americans withdraw and jihadis emerge with a sense of triumphalism, India will face increasing onslaught of terrorism\u201d. Comment"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pq-flow\">\n<div class=\"pq-flow-h\">Flow snapshot <em>\u2014 how the answer moves<\/em><\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-fb\">\n<div class=\"pq-pill p1\"><span>Intro routes<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-ft\">\n<p class=\"pq-r\"><i class=\"pq-rt\">Route 1<\/i> fear is well-founded <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> Afghanistan on NW approaches + 1990s Kabul as terror nursery <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> but must the prediction follow?<\/p>\n<p class=\"pq-r\"><i class=\"pq-rt\">Route 2<\/i> Afghanistan = India\u2019s security buffer <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> US exit + triumphant Taliban did happen <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> so test the determinism, not the concern<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-fb\">\n<div class=\"pq-pill p2\"><span>Body flow<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-ft\">\n<p>why Afghanistan matters (buffer, radical ideology, drugs, ISI proxies \/ <b class=\"pq-sc\">Chadha<\/b>: stable Afghanistan curbs terror) <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> trigger arrived (Aug 2021 pullout; <b class=\"pq-sc\">Narayanan<\/b>: US left it worse; stronger, self-financing Taliban 2.0) <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> the straight line bends: Taliban\u2013ISI\u2013jihadi front fractures <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> Kabul\u2013Islamabad open war over TTP &amp; Durand Line (\u201cIndian proxy\u201d jibe) <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> threat changes actor: ISKP (<b>Routray<\/b>), anti-Taliban + anti-India, Voice of Khurasan incites Indian youth <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> India\u2019s reply: no recognition, no retreat <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> aid + UNSC 2593 + Muttaqi\u2019s Oct 2025 Delhi visit post-Pahalgam<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-fb\">\n<div class=\"pq-pill p3\"><span>Counter-view<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-ft\">\n<p>danger is still real: ISI proxies (LeT\/JeM) persist, Taliban 2.0 stronger, ISKP active <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> <b class=\"pq-sc\">Happymon Jacob<\/b>: soft power alone, no Plan B <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> Taliban\u2013Pakistan friction offers only limited relief<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-fb\">\n<div class=\"pq-pill p4\"><span>Conclusion routes<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"pq-ft\">\n<p class=\"pq-r\"><i class=\"pq-rt\">Route 1<\/i> security stake genuine; threat real but reshaped in source &amp; form <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> India now shapes the outcome, not merely suffers it<\/p>\n<p class=\"pq-r\"><i class=\"pq-rt\">Route 2<\/i> concern valid, prediction not deterministic <span class=\"pq-ar\">\u2192<\/span> risk managed by calibrated engagement \u2014 neither recognition nor retreat<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"template":"","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"pyq_year":[41],"pyq_marks":[31],"pyq_topic":[88],"pyq_paper":[69],"class_list":["post-1597","psir_pyq","type-psir_pyq","status-publish","hentry","pyq_year-41","pyq_marks-20-marks","pyq_topic-recent-developments-in-indian-foreign-policy","pyq_paper-paper-2"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/psir_pyq\/1597","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/psir_pyq"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/psir_pyq"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/psir_pyq\/1597\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5009,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/psir_pyq\/1597\/revisions\/5009"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1597"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"pyq_year","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pyq_year?post=1597"},{"taxonomy":"pyq_marks","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pyq_marks?post=1597"},{"taxonomy":"pyq_topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pyq_topic?post=1597"},{"taxonomy":"pyq_paper","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumias.com\/psir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pyq_paper?post=1597"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}