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[ Official ] How was the Prelims 2021 paper?

How was the paper guys ? 

jack_Sparrow,curious_kidand28 otherslike this
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@Rambo93 they seemed to be the most reasonable in terms of predicted cutoff i.e. 88-92 … all others are like 95(+/-)2 which seems a bit high for this year... 


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yeah bro. Look I can’t trust vision too. It gave me 112 in 2019 but ended up getting 102.67. You can’t trust vision too completely. 


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@Rambo93 What should be the cut off? Most of the coaching institutes have provided similar cut off as Shankar?


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Honestly speaking, I feel that it’s going to be less than 88. Most of my senior friends are scoring not beyond 90 from any key ! 


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@toooldtodieyoung cutoff in 80s is not probable. It can be like last year only 91-94 for general i feel.
Ews cutoff will be a big surprise this time I feel


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@rawhull Just 1 ques-why ths elite institution staying afloat on taxpayer money in world's largest democracy,cant give checked answer unlike state peers in era of RTI??Miniscule slumdog posterguys cant justify mostly family drama!


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@srivalliguru940 hopefully what u say is right .. fingers crossed ... let's see.


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@srivalliguru940 its UPSC key which matters now. Every key has atleast 10 percent error, this time around its more than that actually.. 


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@monisha27 91-94 general.
88-91 obc.
Ews can see 80+ this time, many applied in ews this time so cutoff can shoot


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Yeah ofc. Btw there is a considerable difference between toppers key and being ifs key. Both are toppers in prelims btw ! 


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@srivalliguru940 Where are these keys available?


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@Rambo93 possibly yes ... but may i ask why u feel the cut-off won't drop as you yourself and many others have indicated that most people who scored >100 in previous years are languishing in the 90's range. I would assume if all high scorers are scoring lower(pretty significantly that too), the cut-off would also be lower.


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Yes. We can’t just apply theory and predict cut off. Practically, when most of the people in our circle are struggling to cross 100 and just few are in 90s, how can we expect the cut off to be above 90 ? 


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@monisha27 just google it. Being ifs has their own website 


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@srivalliguru940 Okay. Thanks :)


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@toooldtodieyoung it's the UPSC key which matters. Every year its matter of 6-7 questions which turns the tide. anyone with 70s can go to 90s provided 6-7 answers goes in their favour.. which questions will turn no one knows. So practically no one is safe unless one has scored 110+. Which is very rare. 


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@toooldtodieyoung besides seats are less too. Less than 10k people will write mains.


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@toooldtodieyoung also the so called debateable questions, people have marked either of two options, so either way one category of people would gain the other would lose. This year close to 7 questions have 2 close answers. Eg chenab and satluj. Its a gamble now.. 
I hope cutoff goes below 90, but very unlikely.


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@Rambo93 yes I understand the possible variation in marks, but that does not account for the cut-off. Regardless of the variation the cut-off would still lie at a point where 9k students can be selected. The variation in the key would just swap in and swap out population of students around the cut-off. The cut-off itself should ideally just depend on the average expectation of marks of students which is lower this year than other years.

For Eg: Let's say Vision's key is accurate 100%. As per vision's key if people are scoring lesser than last year then i would assume the cut-off would also be lower.


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@toooldtodieyoung  sounds reasonable. Let's see how it goes. I would also want it to go low, but don't know i just feel it won't go below 90. Tukkebazo ki sankhya badh gayi hai. 


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