How was the paper guys ?
@bhuvanamalar1015412 bro the paper was legit easy. i have been telling this for a while now.
as someone said, paper dena and paper dekhna - two very different things. pardon if my hindi is not entirely accurate
(Worst case- best case)
Taking a break from mains prep to catch up on the debates.
Cut-off prediction is difficult when your previous anchor point is unreliable, e.g. 2017->2018 (difficulty jump, first time below 100), 2018->2019 (EWS ka introduction), and 2019->2020 (pandemic year, new paper style, difficult CSAT paper, etc). But anyone who's given several of these attempts and has cleared somewhat consistently will have a good estimate of the main parameter that sets the cut-off, which is the difficulty. All the other factors - size of competition, number of seats, etc , exam attendance, are all secondary factors which mostly cancel each other out. There's no way to objectively definitively 100% state that paper was easier or harder, but if you've written multiple attempts and have cleared or gotten close to, you should trust your gut.I can 100% say that to my eye, both papers were harder than last year. I've never had any CSAT issues and even this year will not have any CSAT issues, but even while reading the paper I could tell that it was going to be difficult for people. Usually I attempt >70 questions, but last year could only manage 65 and this year only around 60 questions. CSAT was vague, had confusing conflicting passages, had tricky math questions that could easily eat up your time, etc etc. This is more so than last year. And GS paper was definitely tougher - new topic areas, hard questions ,vague questions, bad translations, etc. This idea that there are enough easy questions to push the cut-off up is laughable - everyone who wrote the paper knows the kind of mental pressure that occurs while writing and how easy it is to slip up on those sitters. I for e.g. skipped the Bethune question because it was right after the Gandhi question and I didn't have the nerve to tick the right answer, even though I'd circled it. The only point at which the paper would seem easier is in the few days afterwards, when you sit with the paper and curse yourself or watch the coaching centres gaslight you into thinking that your brain was wrong. It's a combination of anchoring effect, desire for risk mitigation, insecurity, etc etc.
Anyway, longwinded way of saying that I can definitely believe the assessment that the cut-off would drop by 2.5 questions (i.e. 5 marks) due to the GS paper, and another 1 question (i.e. 2 marks) because of the CSAT. I don't think the impact from reduced seats will be felt - some 500 lost places will hardly account for more than half a mark at the border and will be more than compensated for by the fewer number of people who would have written the exam with a decent level of preparation (I don't know about you guys but I know that the 2nd wave definitely impacted my own preparation).
Am taking Shankar, Hardworking Human, Kaptaan and Vision's rough benchmarks and trusting my own gut and have moved accordingly.
true.excellent analysis.
@sleeplessnights89 are u looking for translator as a backup job with failing experiences in upsc.?
i remember when I went to live in MN, for an year, i wanted half sugar tea and google translate would tell me aadha cheeni, and the tea seller will give wierd looks,lol translator job bhi achha hai, but with Google!!
Taking a break from mains prep to catch up on the debates.
Cut-off prediction is difficult when your previous anchor point is unreliable, e.g. 2017->2018 (difficulty jump, first time below 100), 2018->2019 (EWS ka introduction), and 2019->2020 (pandemic year, new paper style, difficult CSAT paper, etc). But anyone who's given several of these attempts and has cleared somewhat consistently will have a good estimate of the main parameter that sets the cut-off, which is the difficulty. All the other factors - size of competition, number of seats, etc , exam attendance, are all secondary factors which mostly cancel each other out. There's no way to objectively definitively 100% state that paper was easier or harder, but if you've written multiple attempts and have cleared or gotten close to, you should trust your gut.I can 100% say that to my eye, both papers were harder than last year. I've never had any CSAT issues and even this year will not have any CSAT issues, but even while reading the paper I could tell that it was going to be difficult for people. Usually I attempt >70 questions, but last year could only manage 65 and this year only around 60 questions. CSAT was vague, had confusing conflicting passages, had tricky math questions that could easily eat up your time, etc etc. This is more so than last year. And GS paper was definitely tougher - new topic areas, hard questions ,vague questions, bad translations, etc. This idea that there are enough easy questions to push the cut-off up is laughable - everyone who wrote the paper knows the kind of mental pressure that occurs while writing and how easy it is to slip up on those sitters. I for e.g. skipped the Bethune question because it was right after the Gandhi question and I didn't have the nerve to tick the right answer, even though I'd circled it. The only point at which the paper would seem easier is in the few days afterwards, when you sit with the paper and curse yourself or watch the coaching centres gaslight you into thinking that your brain was wrong. It's a combination of anchoring effect, desire for risk mitigation, insecurity, etc etc.
Anyway, longwinded way of saying that I can definitely believe the assessment that the cut-off would drop by 2.5 questions (i.e. 5 marks) due to the GS paper, and another 1 question (i.e. 2 marks) because of the CSAT. I don't think the impact from reduced seats will be felt - some 500 lost places will hardly account for more than half a mark at the border and will be more than compensated for by the fewer number of people who would have written the exam with a decent level of preparation (I don't know about you guys but I know that the 2nd wave definitely impacted my own preparation).
Am taking Shankar, Hardworking Human, Kaptaan and Vision's rough benchmarks and trusting my own gut and have moved accordingly.
I totally agree , paper seems to be easy only after exam , during exam literally it was so tough to handle it , in csat during first hour I could only solve 8 questions of maths ,,, later I ended up solving 48 ,,,,
And in paper one , there were surprisingly shocking questions which used to make mind nervous ,, I don't think anyone would have ever studied चौसठयोगिनी मंदिर , triclosan , right to city , water credit , the dynasty chronological question , the details of adenovirus and so on
To sum up paper was tough and those who took risk and holded nerves would sail
PLEASE DO NOT BAN MEE, I AM ALSO A ASPIRANT, BUT I ALSO GOT THE NEWS THAT RESULT WILL COME ON TOMORROW, LAST YEAR ALSO I DID THIS, FAILED BY 1 MARK LAST YEAR, THIS YEAR I AM GETTING 90 FROM ALL KEYS,
CONSIDORING
SUTLEJ (D) WRONG
MONTFORD(B) WRONG
STATE (B) WRONG
CO (123 CORRECT)
METAL (ALL CORRECT)
LED (A WRONG)
ARTICLE 32 ( D) WRONG
AYANGAR (C) CORRECT
COOKER (D) WRONG
MITOCONDRIA (C) CORRECT
VIRUS (1,2) CORRECT
You will get through 100% mark my words