[ Official ] How was the Prelims 2021 paper?
How was the paper guys ?
hemant23_iitd8676,
Kya bola hai@javelinthrow bhai ney ? Unhone bas ek link daali thi date ki, par khud sey aaj kuch bola ho toh plz tell :)
Guesswhoshere,
Im really nervous. Normally i would buckle up for next attempt if things dont go my way, this time ill have to pack up my books (and have no idea whether to dump them or give them to raddi), empty rented accomodation(in 2 days coz i dont wanna pay november rent) and move back to home. Its gonna be a significant moment. After missing mains cutoff by 3 marks last year, I really wish i get one final chance at this exam. Anyway, life is still gonna be great and happy and merry nonetheless. Thanks for the support shown by many. Wishing the best of us.
All the best Sir.!!!
Aawara,Guesswhoshere
Im really nervous. Normally i would buckle up for next attempt if things dont go my way, this time ill have to pack up my books (and have no idea whether to dump them or give them to raddi), empty rented accomodation(in 2 days coz i dont wanna pay november rent) and move back to home. Its gonna be a significant moment. After missing mains cutoff by 3 marks last year, I really wish i get one final chance at this exam. Anyway, life is still gonna be great and happy and merry nonetheless. Thanks for the support shown by many. Wishing the best of us.
@Guesswhoshere all the best brother, hope you get success this time.
I don't have a clue.
Here's a hypothetical way in which an institute can predict the cutoff ->take a poll of a large number of aspirants, asking for their marks on the basis of one particular key. Take a certain percentage of the scores (say top 5-6%). This method works if you've been doing this for years. So if in the past 4 years, the cutoff score was similar to the score your top 6% of respondents were getting, then taking the score of the top 6% this year too might give a good enough prediction.
This would be a proper data based cutoff prediction. But what we're seeing is multiple entities making multiple claims based on their arguments or subjective experiences.
The problem isn't that the arguments are wrong. I've seen some really convincing arguments on this platform from people on both extremes i.e. those predicting 85 as cutoff as well as 100 as cutoff. I wouldn't call their predictions random. They're well thought out. But so are the opposing claims.
When conflicting arguments and reasons arise, only data can tell the truth. Everything else is just conjecture.
And that's the fundamental problem here. None of us have enough data. We just know the scores of people in our peer group as well as some 30-40 odd aspirants who have posted here. And there's no compelling reason to assume that this is representative of the entire population of serious candidates.
So yeah. I don't think it's wise for me to give any sort of prediction for the cutoff. I wouldn't be surprised if it's drastically different from whatever the popular consensus is, although it's more likely that the majority is right. Sorry if this doesn't satisfy you or calm your anxiety :P
What I have understood is agr 10 serious logo ke grp me(provided they are honest abt their marks)4 logo ke marks hmare jitne ban rahe hai toh fir kisi ka clr nahi hoga. This analogy has worked almost every time for me.
I don't have a clue.
Here's a hypothetical way in which an institute can predict the cutoff ->take a poll of a large number of aspirants, asking for their marks on the basis of one particular key. Take a certain percentage of the scores (say top 5-6%). This method works if you've been doing this for years. So if in the past 4 years, the cutoff score was similar to the score your top 6% of respondents were getting, then taking the score of the top 6% this year too might give a good enough prediction.
This would be a proper data based cutoff prediction. But what we're seeing is multiple entities making multiple claims based on their arguments or subjective experiences.
The problem isn't that the arguments are wrong. I've seen some really convincing arguments on this platform from people on both extremes i.e. those predicting 85 as cutoff as well as 100 as cutoff. I wouldn't call their predictions random. They're well thought out. But so are the opposing claims.
When conflicting arguments and reasons arise, only data can tell the truth. Everything else is just conjecture.
And that's the fundamental problem here. None of us have enough data. We just know the scores of people in our peer group as well as some 30-40 odd aspirants who have posted here. And there's no compelling reason to assume that this is representative of the entire population of serious candidates.
So yeah. I don't think it's wise for me to give any sort of prediction for the cutoff. I wouldn't be surprised if it's drastically different from whatever the popular consensus is, although it's more likely that the majority is right. Sorry if this doesn't satisfy you or calm your anxiety :P
I have been foretelling cutoffs, through experience for past 2 years with acceptable accuracy.
CSP-2019 cutoff predicted= 98+2/3 (actual-98)
CSP-2020 cutoff predicted= 91-95 (actual-92)
CSP2021 cutodd prection= 88-91 (actual- next year hi pata lagega)
This is not to brag about myself but to help calm the nerves of some fellow aspirants who are feeling edgy in these testing times. here is the proof.
havent tallied with many keys, 2 keys i did, i was getting between 90-92 GM. I realised im gonna be borderline, so didnt bother checking many keys.
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