[ Official ] How was the Prelims 2021 paper?
How was the paper guys ?
sapiens toh nhi pdi. but i gues its an evolutionary survival mechanism. You do bakar ,you make friends , you become part of a group, you are safe, your chances of passing on your genes increases.Why do, we the people, love BAKAR? Did YUVAL Harari give a thought on it in his best selling SAPIEN? Just curious. :)
hemant23_iitd8676,plmokn25688524
plmokn25688524,PapaFranku
Dionysus,plmokn25688524
plmokn25688524,
I don't have a clue.
Here's a hypothetical way in which an institute can predict the cutoff ->take a poll of a large number of aspirants, asking for their marks on the basis of one particular key. Take a certain percentage of the scores (say top 5-6%). This method works if you've been doing this for years. So if in the past 4 years, the cutoff score was similar to the score your top 6% of respondents were getting, then taking the score of the top 6% this year too might give a good enough prediction.
This would be a proper data based cutoff prediction. But what we're seeing is multiple entities making multiple claims based on their arguments or subjective experiences.
The problem isn't that the arguments are wrong. I've seen some really convincing arguments on this platform from people on both extremes i.e. those predicting 85 as cutoff as well as 100 as cutoff. I wouldn't call their predictions random. They're well thought out. But so are the opposing claims.
When conflicting arguments and reasons arise, only data can tell the truth. Everything else is just conjecture.
And that's the fundamental problem here. None of us have enough data. We just know the scores of people in our peer group as well as some 30-40 odd aspirants who have posted here. And there's no compelling reason to assume that this is representative of the entire population of serious candidates.
So yeah. I don't think it's wise for me to give any sort of prediction for the cutoff. I wouldn't be surprised if it's drastically different from whatever the popular consensus is, although it's more likely that the majority is right. Sorry if this doesn't satisfy you or calm your anxiety :P
hemant23_iitd8676,Philip_Marlowe
Write your comment…
