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[Results] Prelims 2020 Over - Gearing for 2021

Because of the corona virus issue? If it does not happen then worst affected will be people whose interview is stuck, around 600-700 such people I think are yet to appear for their interview.


@neyawn sir and others, what is your take?

This is the official Thread for discussion of Prelims Postponement, Please do not create new threads for the same.

jack_Sparrow,curious_kidand137 otherslike this
6.1m views

13.7k comments

An article to understand what can happen and what happened in the past due to similar situation.

https://www.financialexpress.com/opinion/how-to-avoid-a-w-shaped-recession/1958334/

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@Yo_Yo_Choti_Singh Sorry for asking in the wrong thread. But PYQ how many years to follow and from any specific source? Can you please suggest?


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Guys , I will not let upsc conduct the exam this year. See the situation of the countries where lock down eased up, I am emerging again.. In india I will reach the peak in june july and subside in August September So the conclusion is... 

1st :: Exam can not be conducted till September , if upsc decides to conduct the exam then it will issue a notice prior to 30 days , it means November is the month when exam can be conducted...

2:: If i come with second wave after easing up lockdown then sabhi log bhool he jaao is saal exam...  

 Heee haaa haaaa haaaaaa... 

This dude is on a whole different level. He has so much of idle time that he is operating an ID with a username of a virus . Not only that, he is posting as if he himself is the virus. Damn!

I was under the impression that I have achieved some kind of “Nirvana” in past two years, as I was at peace with myself only. I didn’t care of what others have or are doing. But guess what, I was wrong. To be honest, I envy this guy, yes, I envy him now.

Let this lockdown thing get over, I am going to finish Corona in one go.(The beer, bottoms up).

he he ha ha!!!!

SergioRamos,
6.1k views
@TheNotorious and you have so much  idle time that you are operating an id with a username the notorious ...

He ha ha ha...


keephustling,
5.3k views

Trains 30 June tak cancel hai

So, the earliest probable date will be July 5th.

Abhi padhna shuru karenge to ho sakta hai kya pre ka syllabus cover 110-115 score ke liye? 


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@PowerPuffMojo  ye to is baat pe depend karta h ki aap jaha se shuru kar rahe ho uska level kya h.....


SergioRamos,
8.6k views
» show previous quotes

Govt was not ready ,couldnot understand the nature of corona so initiated lockdown immediately and this was the best decision. Despite lockdown situation in many parts are worst.

Now govt is opening not bcz virus is dead or some conspiracy theory is surfaced but bcz economy too need to be survived.

According to your guesses outcomes of spanish flu, cholera outbreak ,sars ....all were false.



to matlab govt k liye pehle logo ki jaan imp thi....and ab economy imp h...?? bhai nature nahi smjh paa rhe the corona ka ..wo baat theek h....but ye nahi smjh paaye ki aise ek dum k lockdown se kya results honge.......ham koi USA ya european country nahi h jo log apne gharo me months ka raashan paani ikattha kar lenge ....yaha india me bhai majority log hand to mouth pe jeete h.....main to blunder maanta hu is decision ko........isliye bola ki over-inflate kiya corona ko....corona ka R- number and mortality rate mere guesses nahi h bhai...science h.....

8.6k views
@PowerPuffMojo  ye to is baat pe depend karta h ki aap jaha se shuru kar rahe ho uska level kya h.....


likely to be in August second half or september week 1. Vajiram is right! mains in december. no time between prelims and mains

9.8k views
» show previous quotes

Govt was not ready ,couldnot understand the nature of corona so initiated lockdown immediately and this was the best decision. Despite lockdown situation in many parts are worst.

Now govt is opening not bcz virus is dead or some conspiracy theory is surfaced but bcz economy too need to be survived.

According to your guesses outcomes of spanish flu, cholera outbreak ,sars ....all were false.



to matlab govt k liye pehle logo ki jaan imp thi....and ab economy imp h...?? bhai nature nahi smjh paa rhe the corona ka ..wo baat theek h....but ye nahi smjh paaye ki aise ek dum k lockdown se kya results honge.......ham koi USA ya european country nahi h jo log apne gharo me months ka raashan paani ikattha kar lenge ....yaha india me bhai majority log hand to mouth pe jeete h.....main to blunder maanta hu is decision ko........isliye bola ki over-inflate kiya corona ko....corona ka R- number and mortality rate mere guesses nahi h bhai...science h.....

i didn't say and no one will say that for govt's priority is economy.

nature---lab origin, garmi mein less effect,containment can pause the surge etc etc. 

hope u followed news of Italy, now brazil , MH ,Delhi (crpf,itpb).Situation was worse and it is worst.

Govt =policy maker /bureaucrats had no option but to suggest to close down. Even now state CMs are saying for lockdown 4.

Nobody inflated corona .We reached moon itna to yahan ke budhijivi b samjhte hai. 


so pls understand lockdown was good decision but i agree with u that the way the migrants ,poor are handled is very very painful.

Electric_Girl,
9.2k views
@abhinandanpd018869we didn't reach moon...I appreciate and respect ISRO but we have to face the reality for further success...and what about very low R-no. and mortality rate of corono……...uspe b to kuch boliye…...


8.6k views

The exam will be held after "mid-august". The date can be anything after mid-august. (Personal opinion)


Here are my reasons: 
1. By observing the moves by the government, it seems like they are looking forward to hit the peak in the month of June. They just want to get over with the peak and then return back to normalcy as soon as possible. This seems to be the exit strategy. And there's a reason why the government wants it this way. 


2. 80% cases are asymptomatic/mild. The other 20% need oxygen supply, out of which 15% need oxygen through canula/oxygen masks and 5% need oxygen through ventilators. 


3. During the last two months, The lockdown provided us the time to prepare to take this thing heads on. India significantly upgraded it's medical infrastructure. By June we'll be having about one lakh ventilators. Spread over thirty days, one lakh ventilators can handle about 2 lakh critically ill cases (which is about 5% of the expected infections). 


4. If 2 Lakh is 5% , then India can afford the total infections of about 40 Lakh cases in June. That's atleast 3 times more than USA's infections currently and approximately equal to total global infections right now. Considering the data available, USA did hit the peak much before the 10 lakh mark and the curve is on the declining trend right now. So India has a lot of buffer in terms of capacity and can face the peak period effectively. I personally feel that the peak will be somewhere between 10 to 15 lakh cases and after that we will see the declining trend here too. There's a lot of hype about coronavirus, it isn't as bad as it is perceived to be, in terms of mortality. Yes, there will be a few hundred cases and deaths over the length of this year and next but once the peak is achieved, things will come back to normal. 


5. I expect the government to relax most of the economic activity except in containment zones after 17th. This is the only way to achieve the peak as soon as possible in the month of June. Also, it will give immense learning in terms of how to carry out economic activities with proper hygiene measures. Public transport and inter-state travel won't open up before peak as it will stress out medical infrastructure beyond the capacity, but local economic activity will re-open with a renewed zeal and enthusiasm in the next week. 


6. As soon as the declining trend in cases is observed in the month of July, all schools, colleges, public transport and exams will happen and things will go back to normal. 


7. Coronavirus will be a normal thing after July 2020, albeit with sporadic tensions that will eventually ease out in the few years ahead. 


Study hard, it's a unique situation where you have lots of time to study. Goodnight :) 

Neyawn,Kira0705and15 otherslike this
10.8k views
@abhinandanpd018869we didn't reach moon...I appreciate and respect ISRO but we have to face the reality for further success...and what about very low R-no. and mortality rate of corono……...uspe b to kuch boliye…...


by all accounts mortality rate is atleast 2-3 percent with at least 10 percent people needing hospitalization. Do u know what is the population of our country? and how many will die because of "low" mortality rate.  And once it spreads, there is no going back. 

And about R0 , you are casually comparing with flu. it's not. how many people you infect when you have the flu. This corona things is getting transferred even by vegetables vendors. Certainly the number is very high. 


And finally , if you do not wanna believe , nobody can do anything.  But let's hope nobody has to suffer with such deadly disease when health infra of our country is so pathetic.

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@olympus then why govt is opening the lock.down??  ..it seems govt too doesnt know the population of india...specially the no. of migrant labourers......


8.3k views
@abhinandanpd018869we didn't reach moon...I appreciate and respect ISRO but we have to face the reality for further success...and what about very low R-no. and mortality rate of corono……...uspe b to kuch boliye…...


For corona r no any thing beyond 1 is dangerous.it have to be -1 than we can relax.

Todays news...hospital in Mumbai is getting full .

We reached moon ,well we r orbiting it and about landing ,we missed it..but we reached it.

Hope u r not a script writer of R Gandhi speeches.😉 who known the argument but ignores the fact.

Hope u believe that corona virus is highly infectious.

Now pls dont tell corona is a hoax of the first world .

i read spanish flu ,how it in 2nd and 3rd wave killed lakhs. And i pray such 2nd wave dont affect much of us.


And pls dear bhai wear mask always while going out and handwash .

Hope u r doing these ,as u r angry over it low m rate.


8.6k views
@abhinandanpd018869ha ha...…….I am unable to understand why we cant just listen anyone's thought...….why to make it so extreme...that you have to compare me with speech writer of R. Gandhi...…….we should keep it as a healthy discussion platform rather than making personal comments on someone who is not talking on your lines......


simam2432,
8.1k views
@abhinandanpd018869ha ha...…….I am unable to understand why we cant just listen anyone's thought...….why to make it so extreme...that you have to compare me with speech writer of R. Gandhi...…….we should keep it as a healthy discussion platform rather than making personal comments on someone who is not talking on your lines......


,🙃The bucks stops ...only ehen the thing gets personal.

Well it is not personal its a praise


8.5k views

Dear Corona Bandhus

I am citing a report below (neeche link hai). It is a research paper by DTU faculty. I am writing down the results of their study :

  1. There are 2 models they have used. One says that cases will peak on 26th May, 2020. The other model says that peak will come on 25th June.

  2. The GoCoronaGo moment for Indians will come on 12 th September, the latter one says it will go away on 23 July 2020.

  3. It takes into account factors of social distancing and train movements, but cautions that it may spike if we don't maintain Taan-Doori (Social Distancing).

~Spits Gutka


https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Vishesh_Kashyap/publication/341397479_Progression_of_COVID-19_in_Indian_States_-_Forecasting_Endpoints_Using_SIR_and_Logistic_Growth_Models/links/5ebe293692851c11a867de8b/Progression-of-COVID-19-in-Indian-States-Forecasting-Endpoints-Using-SIR-and-Logistic-Growth-Models.pdf

GaryVee,Oshoand5 otherslike this
6.6k views

Dear Corona Bandhus

I am citing a report below (neeche link hai). It is a research paper by DTU faculty. I am writing down the results of their study :

  1. There are 2 models they have used. One says that cases will peak on 26th May, 2020. The other model says that peak will come on 25th June.

  2. The GoCoronaGo moment for Indians will come on 12 th September, the latter one says it will go away on 23 July 2020.

  3. It takes into account factors of social distancing and train movements, but cautions that it may spike if we don't maintain Taan-Doori (Social Distancing).

~Spits Gutka


https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Vishesh_Kashyap/publication/341397479_Progression_of_COVID-19_in_Indian_States_-_Forecasting_Endpoints_Using_SIR_and_Logistic_Growth_Models/links/5ebe293692851c11a867de8b/Progression-of-COVID-19-in-Indian-States-Forecasting-Endpoints-Using-SIR-and-Logistic-Growth-Models.pdf

bhai tum kya phd kar rhe ho corona pe..???

ssver2,GaneshGaitonde
6.8k views
Corona cases will peak in the month of June and curve will tapered off in the month of July to August so we can safely say that exams can be conducted in August or September. Note that JEE and NEET exams are already scheduled in the month of July so UPSC can conduct exams in August or September. As far as  hotspots are concerned like Mumbai or Delhi I think travel restrictions in these areas will be lifted by the month of August so UPSC can arrange neighboring district which is not hotspot as center and conduct the exams. Most probably schools will also start from August or September.
anp,
6.1k views
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