How does the recent takeover of Afghanistan by Taliban impact India’s strategic interests?
How the answer moves
The flow snapshot — the routes in, the body, the counter-view and the routes out.
Route 1 Aug 2021 takeover undid two decades of Indian statecraft in one stroke → Menon’s “test case” for India’s leading-power claim
Route 2 one reversal struck security, connectivity and regional balance together → costly on every front
~US$3bn + goodwill exposed → security first: ISI proxies (LeT/JeM), ISIS-K, narcotics → Happymon Jacob: soft power insufficient, no Plan B → Chabahar / Delaram–Zaranj strained → China + Pakistan gain room for hostile Kabul axis → Taliban–Pakistan friction reopens space → Saraswat: Taliban transaction-minded, Islamabad rift = India’s opening → Muttaqi’s Oct 2025 Delhi visit + “no Afghan soil against India” + Kabul embassy upgrade
Katju: engagement buys leverage but risks legitimising the regime
Route 1 serious near-term reversal, yet core security and connectivity interests protected
Route 2 calibrated engagement without recognition → impact contained, not permanent
Model answer
Handwritten, in the form it would be written in the examination hall.
Also asked on this head
Recent Developments in Indian Foreign Policy — 18 questions in the Vault.
- India’s reluctance to perceive any ‘existential threat’ inevitably made the multilateral path to nuclear security a ‘default option until it decided to cross the nuclear Rubicon...
- India continues to invoke its time-tested policy of strategic autonomy vis-a-vis both the United States of America and Russia by rejecting US’ offer of mediation on...
- Critically examine the continuity and change in India’s Palestine policy in the wake of the ongoing Israel- Hamas War.
How this is taught
The same flow snapshot, built for every head of the syllabus, with the answer written in class.
The first session of Foundation 2027 is published in full.
Six programmes across three levels.
