What stimulus?: 
Red Book
Red Book

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What stimulus?

Context:

  • Ways to revive the Indian economy

Why there is an expectation of a fiscal stimulus amongst a large section of industry and economists?

  • There is no sign of revival in corporate investment or exports
  • There is a slow-down in private consumption due to jobless scenario

What should the government do?

  • The government should put more money in highways, railways, irrigation and other public-funded infrastructure.
  • It might increase the fiscal deficit, but that problem will take care of itself once growth returns and revenues, too, show corresponding buoyancy.
  • There is a requirement of public sector managers E. Sreedharan, Verghese Kurien or Narla Tata Rao to take up projects

What is the solution?

  • Boosting private consumption as against public investment is a more efficient way to revive the economy
  • All fiscal stimuli were not successful in providing a necessary short-term demand boost to the economy. For example, the fiscal stimuli adopted by the government post the 2008-09 global financial meltdown

What is the incumbent government’s commitment?

  • Unlike its predecessor, the current NDA government has shown greater commitment to fiscal and monetary prudence
  • Low inflation and stable exchange rate regime has helped attract foreign capital flows both direct as well as portfolio investment in equities and bonds.
  • These flows to finance its external current account payments deficit so the government need to take calculated risk while deviating from the path of macroeconomic stability

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