Our semiconductor shortage is likely to persist for a long while

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News: The semiconductor chip shortage, currently impacting the automobile industry, is likely to last longer.

How the semiconductor industry evolved in the mid-80s?

The semiconductor industry underwent a major change in the mid-80s as chips started getting commoditized.

To protect against price risks and secure heavy investments that go into fabs, chipmakers started asked for purchase commitments at pre-agreed prices.

And to cover for demand variability, excess capacity was maintained.

This means that now, around 80% of all production goes to pre-committed buyers, while the remainder is set for the traders.

Auto industry buys semiconductors from this remainder pool of low cost supplies.

Must Read: Chipped & vulnerable: GoI must make public investments to encourage private manufacturing in strategic semiconductor industry
What is the way forward?

Short term

In the near-term, the industry can revert to older systems, reducing features in vehicles, and delaying deliveries of vehicles.

Long term

A longer-term response has also started to emerge.

Samsung has announced a new chip plant in Texas. Also, both Ford and GM have said they would get into long-term design and manufacturing arrangements.

Further, national governments have also started treating chip supplies as a strategic imperative. For instance: India’s newly announced $10 billion incentive scheme for high-end chip-making can go a long way in establishing a strong electronics manufacturing base in India.

Must Read: Semiconductor manufacturing in India – Explained, pointwise

Source: This post is based on the article “Our semiconductor shortage is likely to persist for a long while” published in Livemint on 22nd Dec 2021.

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