‘India to lose if oil prices climb more’ 

sfg-2026
ForumIAS LATEST
    1. Prelims Test Series (PTS) for Prelims 2027 starts 11th Oct. 2026 Click Here to know more →
    2. Ethics Redbook 3rd Edition: A Textbook That Teaches You How to Think Ethically Click Here to Read More →
    3. 21 Sept. | Forum Residential Coaching (FRC) for UPSC preparation Click Here to know more →
    4. 21 Sept. | GS Advance Program (GSAP) for UPSC 2027 Mains starts from 10th Oct. Click Here to Read More →

‘India to lose if oil prices climb more’

What has happened?

India, along with other emerging economies like Turkey and the Philippines, will be a loser if the recent oil price rise continues, according to a Nomura report

Affecting net oil importers with weak economic fundamentals

The supply side-driven increase in crude oil prices is likely to spur a major differentiation in emerging markets’ performance, hurting large net oil importers with weak economic fundamentals, possibly by more than it benefits large net oil exporters

Worsening CAD

Every $10/barrel (bbl) rise in oil price would worsen the current account balance by 0.4% of GDP, increase inflation by 30-40 basis points (bps), hurt growth by 15 bps and worsen the fiscal balance by 0.1% of GDP

The winners

The clear cut winners from the rise in oil prices include exporters Saudi Arabia, Nigeria and Colombia

Print Friendly and PDF
Blog
Academy
Community