[Answered] Analyze the current humanitarian crisis in Myanmar and its implications for India. Should India revise its policy towards Myanmar in response to the crisis? Justify your answer. (250 words)

The current humanitarian crisis in Myanmar, exacerbated by the conflict between ethnic armed organizations (EAOs) and the military junta, presents significant implications for India’s policy towards Myanmar.

Current Situation in Myanmar

• Humanitarian Crisis: The conflict has led to a severe humanitarian crisis, with widespread displacement, refugees fleeing into neighboring countries including India, and significant challenges in accessing necessities like food, water, and medical supplies.
• Geopolitical Dynamics: EAOs, supported by China, control substantial territories along Myanmar’s borders, impacting regional stability. China’s influence over these groups contrasts with India’s historical engagement primarily with the military junta.
• International Pressure: The United Nations and other international bodies have highlighted the humanitarian crisis, urging action to alleviate suffering and stabilize Myanmar.

Implications for India:

• Border Security and Refugees: India shares a long border with Myanmar, particularly in Northeast India. The influx of refugees and potential destabilization due to cross-border activities necessitates a proactive response from India.
• Strategic Interests: India’s ‘Act East’ policy aims to enhance connectivity and trade with Southeast Asia via Myanmar. Instability in Myanmar affects these strategic interests, requiring a nuanced approach.
• Humanitarian Responsibility: As a regional power, India faces moral and practical imperatives to address humanitarian crises affecting its neighbors. Providing humanitarian assistance can enhance India’s soft power and regional influence.

Justification for Policy Review:

• Shift in Myanmar’s Dynamics: The military junta’s diminished control and the rise of EAOs controlling significant territories signify a fundamental shift. India’s traditional policy of engagement primarily with the junta needs reassessment to adapt to the current geopolitical realities.
• Dialogue with EAOs: Experts advocate for India to establish channels with EAOs to mitigate conflict and stabilize the region. This approach aligns with addressing humanitarian needs and securing India’s interests in Myanmar’s stability.
• Balancing Regional Influence: China’s influence over EAOs underscores the urgency for India to recalibrate its strategy, balancing engagement between various stakeholders to safeguard its interests and contribute positively to Myanmar’s stability.

Conclusion

By taking these steps, India can show its commitment to humanitarian principles while safeguarding its strategic interests in a complex situation.