South China Sea, Rohingya on ASEAN map

Quarterly-SFG-Jan-to-March
SFG FRC 2026

South China Sea, Rohingya on ASEAN map

Context

  • The maritime dispute over the South China Sea, exodus of the Rohingya citizens of Myanmar into Bangladesh and India, North Korean nuclear posturing and Islamic State-linked terrorism are likely to be the key talking points at the 31st ASEAN summit

What else is on the list?

  • Apart from participating in the ASEAN-India and East Asia Summits, in the three-day visit, Mr. Modi would also take part in special celebrations of the 50th anniversary of ASEAN,Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) Leaders’ Meeting andASEAN Business and Investment Summit.
  • The bilateral meeting with Philippines President Rodrigo Duterte with PM Modi and interactions with other ASEAN and East Asia Summit Leaders is also on the cards.

What is the crisis?

  • The Rohingya crisis is a human rights crisis with serious humanitarian consequences.
  • Large number of Muslim Rohingya have fled Myanmar, many crossing by land into Bangladesh, while others take to the sea to reach Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand.
  • The unfair policies of the Myanmar government in Rakhine state have resulted hundreds of thousands of Rohingya to flee since the late 1970s

Security cooperation

  • The main forum for ASEAN security dialogue is the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF).
  • India has been attending annual meetings of this forum since 1996 and has actively participated in its various activities.
  • The ASEAN Defence Ministers’ Meeting (ADMM) is the highest defence consultative and cooperative mechanism in ASEAN.
  • The ADMM+ brings together Defence Ministers from the 10 ASEAN nations plus Australia, China, India, Japan, New Zealand, Republic of Korea, Russia, and the United States on a biannual basis.

Trade and Investment

  • India-ASEAN trade and investment relations have been growing steadily, with ASEAN being India’s fourth largest trading partner.
  • The annual trade between India and ASEAN stood at approximately US$ 76.53 billion in 2014-15.
  • It declined to US$ 65.04 billion in 2015-16 essentially due to declining commodity prices amidst a general slowing down of the global economy.
  • Investment flows are also substantial both ways, with ASEAN accounting for approximately 12.5% of investment flows into India since 2000.

Convergence

  • Economic ties between India and Southeast Asia are, for reasons of history, orientation and policy, today still rather thin.
  • There seems to be a trend of convergence between the economic orientations and policies of India and Southeast Asia, as it within ASEAN itself.
  • Free global trade and globalization are the common grounds between ASEAN and India.
  • Current relations
  • The year 2017 also completes 15 years of India-ASEAN dialogue at the summit.
  • 2017 also commemorates the completion of five years of strategic partnership between Asia’s third-largest economy and one of the most successful economic groupings in the world.
  • India’s bid to accentuate its links with ASEAN comes at a time of flux in the region with China seen as growing more assertive vis-a-vis its territorial claims in the oil and gas-rich South China Sea, which is also a major international maritime trade route.

What needs to be done?

  • India is yet to give a signal that its remains committed to a long-term strategic presence in the region.
  • Economically, India needs to develop connectivity with the region so that economic complementarities can be fully realized.
  • Militarily, India needs to evolve into a robust security provider in the region.
  • Diplomatically, it needs a sustained outreach.
  • Culturally, it needs to build on the shared cultural linkages.

What does the summit mean to India?

  • The India-ASEAN Summit symbolizes India’s commitment to deepen its ties with the ASEAN member states and the Indo-Pacific region as part of the ‘Act East Policy’.
  • The 10-member grouping ASEAN and India comprise a total population of 1.85 billion people which is one-fourth of the global population. The combined GDP has been estimated at over 3.8 trillion dollars.
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