[Answered] Critically evaluate India’s readiness to capitalize on the AI and semiconductor boom. How can policy interventions bridge structural gaps in indigenous hardware manufacturing?

Introduction

As highlighted in Economic Survey 2025–26 and NITI Aayog’s Semiconductor roadmap, Union Budget 2026–27 launched ISM 2.0 (with a ₹1,000-crore outlay and expanded ₹40,000-crore component fund) to transition India from assembly to full-stack hardware sovereignty.

Pillars of India’s Readiness

  1. Intellectual Capital & Design Dominance: Houses ~20% of global chip design talent; Design Linked Incentive (DLI) scheme has supported 24 projects, with 16 tape-outs and 6 ASIC chips by January 2026. Example: Shakti RISC-V Processors.
  2. Expanding Manufacturing Base: Approved 12 units under Semicon 1.0 exceeding ₹1.64 lakh crore investments across silicon/compound fabs and OSAT facilities. Electronics production reached ₹13.11 lakh crore in FY2025–26, reflecting manufacturing momentum. Example: Dholera Tata-PSMC Fab.
  3. Geopolitical Realities & Alliances: Technology denial risks compel sovereign hardware capability through strategic pacts. Example: India-US iCET Partnership.
  4. Constitutional & Sovereignty Norms: Protecting data infrastructure and national security under Article 21 and IT Act standards. Example: IndiaAI Sovereign Compute.
  5. Demand & Strategic Relevance: AI, 5G, electric mobility, defence and data centres create a large domestic market. NITI Aayog’s 2026 roadmap projects India’s semiconductor market could reach ~$150 billion by 2035, although 90–95% of demand is currently import-dependent. Example: AI accelerators.

Structural Gaps and Value-Chain Disconnect

AreaOperational Reality & BottlenecksStrategic & Policy Imperatives
Packaging Value ChainConcentration in low-margin wire-bond ATMP/OSAT vs. high-margin CoWoS advanced packaging.Shift subsidies toward 2.5D/3D advanced integration Example: Heterogeneous Packaging.
Capital & Fab DeficitModern logic fabs cost ~$10 billion; high risk deters private patient capital.Expand public-private co-investment models Example: Chip Commercialization Fund.
Infrastructure ConstraintsDeficits in ultra-pure water, uninterrupted power, and domestic specialized gases/chemicals.Establish dedicated utility corridors Example: Semiconductor Industrial Parks.

Policy Interventions to Bridge Hardware Gaps

  1. Transitioning Design to Domestic IP: Scale DLI funding into a dedicated ₹1,000-crore Commercialization Fund to back fabless startups through full market deployment Example: Sovereign AI Inference Chips.
  2. Targeting Open Architectures: Capitalize on DIR-V (RISC-V) open-source cores to bypass commercial instruction set architecture licensing costs Example: Indigenous ASIC Design.
  3. Institutional R&D Ecosystems: Establish a National Semiconductor Research Institute linking IISc, IITs, SCL, and industry for next-gen process technology Example: SCL Mohali Revamp.
  4. Supply Chain Security: Secure critical minerals and equipment manufacturing through international alliances Example: KABIL Overseas Procurement.

Way Forward

  1. Focus on Open Inference Markets: Target purpose-built edge and cloud inference chips where architecture is not dominated by foreign monopolies.
  2. Next-Gen Fab Investments: Prioritize compound semiconductors and advanced packaging (ATMP/OSAT) facilities to build immediate domestic capacity.
  3. IP Ownership Ecosystem: Mandate state backing for domestic fabless startups to retain chip IP rights within India.
  4. Outcome-Linked Fiscal Incentives: Tie public subsidies directly to domestic IP generation, commercial yields, and technology transfer.
  5. Anchor Domestic Offtake: Mandate public procurement of indigenous chips across defense, 5G telecom, and IndiaAI infrastructure.

Conclusion

Self-reliance in critical technologies is vital for national strength; mastering semiconductor manufacturing will secure India’s position in the global AI economy.

Print Friendly and PDF
Blog
Academy
Community