Contents
Introduction
The Economic Survey of India 2025–26 flags India’s fertiliser subsidy exceeding ₹2.5 lakh crore, urging efficiency. Integrating subsidies with PM-KISAN via DBT is debated to curb leakages and ensure food security.
From Input Support to Income Support
The proposal to club fertilizer subsidy funds with PM-KISAN into a single per-acre cash transfer represents a paradigm shift from subsidizing inputs to directly supporting farmer incomes.
| Area | Current Regime (Price Control) | Proposed Regime (Direct Transfer) |
| Subsidy Mechanism | Indirect subsidy to manufacturers/importers | Direct cash transfer to farmers |
| Urea Price to Farmer | Fixed at ₹242/bag (since 2012) | Market-determined (freed) |
| Incentive Structure | Overuse and diversion incentivized | Judicious use encouraged |
| Fiscal Predictability | Volatile (₹2.55 lakh crore in FY23) | Fixed budget outlay |
Potential Benefits
- Price Signal Correction: Freeing fertilizer prices would allow farmers to respond to market signals. NITI Aayog advocates that farmers paying full urea price (₹1,100/bag) would receive higher MSP, as the cost-plus formula (C2+50%) would increase procurement prices.
- Fiscal Savings for Reinvestment: The OECD estimates India has the most negative Producer Support Estimate (-14.5% of gross farm receipts) among monitored countries, implying domestic producers are implicitly taxed. Savings from rationalized subsidy (estimated ₹30,000-40,000 crore annually) could fund agricultural R&D, which saw its budget cut 4.8% in 2026-27.
- Environmental Co-Benefits: Current imbalanced use (N:P:K at 10.9:4.1:1) contributes to soil degradation, nitrate leaching, and nitrous oxide emissions (273x CO2). Direct transfers would incentivize balanced nutrient application and promote alternatives like Nano-Urea (90% Nutrient Use Efficiency).
Critical Risks:
- Price Volatility Exposure: Global urea prices surged 65% in 40 days during recent conflicts (from $482 to $795/tonne). Without price caps, small and marginal farmers (86% of landholdings) could face unaffordable inputs during geopolitical shocks.
- Tenant Identification: Inadequate land records risk benefits going to absentee landlords rather than actual cultivators.
- Price Volatility Exposure: Global shocks could make fertilisers unaffordable even with cash transfers. Example: 2026 West Asia crisis pushing urea prices to $795/tonne.
- Behavioural Factors: Cash may be diverted to non-agricultural needs, especially among indebted farmers.transfers.
Efficacy in Curbing Resource Diversion
- The current regime’s low administered price (₹242 per 45-kg bag) creates huge arbitrage, leading to industrial diversion and smuggling.
- DBT removes this incentive by delinking subsidy from product purchase. However, success depends on robust Aadhaar-linked land records and grievance mechanisms. Without these, diversion may shift from fertiliser to cash itself.
- The Economic Survey 2025-26 has explicitly recommended a modest increase in urea prices coupled with direct income transfers to farmers on a per-acre basis. The Survey further recommends zone-specific transfers indexed to cropping patterns, leveraging Aadhaar-linked fertilizer sales data and the PM-KISAN platform
Way Forward
- Phased DBT Implementation: Pilot DBT integration in selected states before nationwide rollout. Example: District-level pilots with real-time monitoring.
- Dynamic Subsidy Indexation: Link cash transfers to global fertiliser price indices to protect farmers from volatility.
- Strengthening Land Records: Accelerate digitisation under Digital India Land Records Modernization Programme (DILRMP).
- Promoting Balanced Nutrient Use: Incentivise P & K fertilisers and discourage excessive nitrogen use. Example: Triple Super Phosphate (TSP).
- Enhancing Extension Services: Use Soil Health Cards and agri-extension to guide optimal fertiliser usage.
- Boosting Domestic Production: Encourage green ammonia, nano-urea, and indigenous fertiliser manufacturing.
Conclusion
Sustainable agriculture needs efficiency and innovation; integrating subsidies with DBT must balance farmer welfare, productivity, and national food security imperatives.


