Contents
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Domestic Content Requirements (DCR): Strategic Significance
- 3 Upstream Integration: The Missing Link
- 4 Contractual Sanctity: Foundation of Investor Trust
- 5 Payment Security Mechanisms: Financial Backbone
- 6 Grid and Curtailment Risks
- 7 Implications for Sustainable Energy Transition
- 8 Conclusion
Introduction
India’s clean energy transition underpins its Net-Zero 2070 pledge. With renewables attracting 80% of power-sector FDI (FY25), manufacturing depth and power-sector credibility are now decisive for sustainability and investor confidence.
Domestic Content Requirements (DCR): Strategic Significance
- Reducing import dependence: For years, India relied heavily on Chinese solar modules and cells, exposing energy security risks. DCR under schemes like PLI for High-Efficiency Solar PV Modules has catalysed domestic capacity addition of 25.3 GW in 2024.
- Industrial value creation: DCR pushes firms to invest locally, generating jobs, MSME linkages, and technology absorption, aligning with Atmanirbhar Bharat and Make in India objectives.
- Technology upgrading: Adoption of TOPCon and bifacial technologies indicates movement up the value chain, preventing India from being locked into low-tech assembly roles.
Upstream Integration: The Missing Link
- Structural imbalance: While module capacity has surged, wafer capacity remains at ~2 GW, with negligible polysilicon production, creating a “hollow manufacturing ecosystem”.
- Strategic vulnerability: Dependence merely shifts from modules to wafers and polysilicon, risking supply shocks, price volatility, and trade coercion.
- Global lessons: China’s dominance stems from vertically integrated solar value chains, supported by patient capital and coordinated industrial policy.
- Way forward: Targeted incentives for polysilicon refining, ingot–wafer manufacturing, and shared infrastructure clusters can correct asymmetries.
Contractual Sanctity: Foundation of Investor Trust
- Policy credibility: Attempts by States to renegotiate PPAs post-auctions undermine confidence, raising perceptions of regulatory risk.
- Legal certainty: The Supreme Court in Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam Ltd. v. Essar Power (2016) emphasised that contracts underpin market stability in power markets.
- Cost of capital: Weak sanctity increases financing costs; India’s renewable capital cost is nearly 80% higher than advanced economies, eroding tariff competitiveness.
Payment Security Mechanisms: Financial Backbone
- DISCOM distress: Chronic delays in payments create liquidity stress for developers, despite reforms like Late Payment Surcharge Rules (2022).
- Investor risk: Without assured cash flows, banks price in risk premiums, slowing project execution and grid expansion.
- Best practices: Mechanisms such as payment security funds, escrow accounts, and letter-of-credit enforcement must be uniformly applied.
Grid and Curtailment Risks
- Transmission deficit: Around 60 GW of renewable capacity is stranded due to inadequate transmission, undermining utilisation efficiency.
- Curtailment uncertainty: Absence of clear compensation norms for forced curtailment distorts financial modelling and discourages long-term investment.
- International experience: Countries like Germany provide priority dispatch and curtailment compensation, reducing investor risk.
Implications for Sustainable Energy Transition
- Manufacturing resilience: DCR plus upstream integration ensures energy sovereignty and supply-chain resilience.
- Market confidence: Contractual sanctity and payment security reduce systemic risk, enabling low-cost finance and scale.
- Climate leadership: Stable power markets are prerequisites for scaling green hydrogen, storage, and round-the-clock renewables.
Conclusion
Institutional trust sustains markets. Echoing President Droupadi Murmu, India’s energy transition will succeed only when policy credibility matches climate ambition.


