[Answered] Highlight the implications of strengthening Russia-China relations for India.

Introduction:

Strengthening Russia-China relations have significant implications for India’s foreign policy and security considerations. Xi Jinping’s recent state visit to Russia reaffirmed the deepening partnership between the two countries, despite the Ukraine crisis. The partnership is driven by a shared belief in countering Western containment and the perceived decline of the United States and the West.

What are the Implications of Strengthening Russia-China Relations for India?

• Increased Strategic Pressure: Russia and China view the US-led West as determined to contain their respective ambitions, leading to a closer partnership. India may face increased strategic pressure as it aligns with the US and other Western powers, potentially limiting its autonomy and room for maneuver in regional affairs.
• Geopolitical Shifts in Central Asia: China’s growing influence in Central Asia, through initiatives like the Central Asian summit, poses a challenge to Russia’s traditional dominance in the region. India’s limited presence in Central Asia may be further marginalized as China solidifies its position as a security guarantor for these countries.
• Economic and Energy Partnership: China has structured an advantageous economic and energy partnership with Russia, enhancing its energy security through land-based supply routes. This partnership gives China greater leverage over Russia’s engagement with India, potentially limiting defense cooperation and independent relations between Russia and India.
• Limitations on Mediation Role: China’s alignment with Russia in the Ukraine crisis prevents it from playing a mediatory role between Ukraine and Russia, contrary to some expectations. The absence of a phone call between Xi and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy signifies China’s clear support for Russia, further solidifying their alliance.

Way Forward:

• Assessing Strategic Interests: India needs to carefully assess the evolving Russia-China partnership and its implications for its own strategic interests.
• Strengthening Regional Alliances: Strengthening ties with like-minded partners in the Indo-Pacific region and beyond can help counterbalance the influence of the Russia-China alliance.
• Diversifying Energy Sources: Diversifying energy sources and strengthening economic partnerships with other countries can reduce India’s vulnerability to potential limitations imposed by the Russia-China partnership.

Conclusion:

The deepening partnership between Russia and China carries significant implications for India’s foreign policy and security considerations. China’s alignment with Russia amid the Ukraine crisis and its growing influence in Central Asia may limit India’s regional presence and autonomy. India should carefully assess the evolving dynamics and seek strategic partnerships to counterbalance the influence of the Russia-China alliance. Diversification of energy sources and economic partnerships can enhance India’s resilience in the face of potential limitations imposed by this strategic partnership.