Fiscal glide path pushed back to 2021

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Fiscal glide path pushed back to 2021

Context

The last full budget of the Narendra Modi-led Bhartiya Janata Party government before the general elections due in 2019 missed the fiscal deficit target of 3.2% for 2017-18

Bond yields rise as the government misses deficit target of 3.2%; analysts expect yields to remain elevated

Why?: This was attributed to revenues to be received under the Goods and Services Tax (GST) for 11 months, instead of 12. The revenue for March will be received in April.

Fiscal Deficit targets

The government said the fiscal deficit target for next financial year would be 3.3% and 3.1% for the year after and then 3% for 2020-21.

Bond prices slumped

Bond prices slumped as the government missed the fiscal deficit target with the yield on 10 year government bond shot up 17 bps to end the day at 7.6%. Yields are expected

Government borrowing

The government pegged its net market borrowing at Rs. 4.62 trn in FY19 (excluding buyback and switches), which is in line with what the market had estimated.

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