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News: The Production Gap Report 2025, released by the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), warns that Paris agreement temperature goals are slipping further out of reach.
About Production Gap Report 2025
- It tracks the misalignment between governments’ planned fossil fuel production and global production levels consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5°C or 2° C.
- Published by: It is published by Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), Climate Analytics, and International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD).
- It is backed by the UN.
- 2025 Edition: This is the fifth edition of the report, which was first issued in 2019.
- The report, which is externally peer reviewed, represents a collaboration of several research and academic institutions, including inputs and reviews from more than 50 experts spanning all parts of the globe.
- This year’s publication updates the analysis presented in the 2023 edition.
Key findings of Production Gap Report 2025
- Overshoot of Paris-consistent pathways: Planned fossil fuel production in 2030 exceeds 1.5°C-consistent levels by more than 120 % and 2°C-consistent levels by 77 %.
- Coal is the most misaligned: Global coal output in 2030 is projected to be 500 % above the median 1.5°C pathway and 330 % above the 2°C benchmark.
- Oil and gas gaps remain stark: Planned 2030 production exceeds Paris-aligned limits by 31 % for oil and 92 % for gas.
- Extended timelines for expansion: Governments plan higher coal through 2035, gas through 2050, and oil well beyond mid-century compared to projections made two years ago.
