Monsoon to cover entire country this week: 

Monsoon to cover entire country this week: 

Country to stay under monsoon for long

Context:

• Monsoon rains are expected to cover the whole country in the next week and are likely to strengthen over central India.

The concern:

• Normally, the monsoon enters into a ‘break,’ or a prolonged interval of around a week in the middle of July and sometimes August.
• If the breaks were to last too long, it could harbinger a drought.
• There the concern is that yet no indication of a break so far is being accounted.
• Monsoon rains are likely to advance into remaining parts of Jammu division and Himachal Pradesh, Haryana and some parts of Punjab for a long period of time, a key region that determines the fate of the monsoon.

The reason:

• The risk of an El Nino, an anomalous heating of the central Pacific that’s associated with weak rains over India, is low this year.
• Some international weather models expect it to emerge around winter but the IMD’s models do not expect it to emerge until late next year.