Power Gap Index

sfg-2026

News: Economic survey 2025-26 has cited data from the Power Gap Index to explain how India is a victim of geopolitics and a strategic power gap and is operating below its full strategic potential.

About Power Gap Index

Knowledge Nugget: What Power Gap Index tells about India’s strategic potential?
Source: Indian Express
  • It is a secondary analysis derived from the Asia Power Index.
  • Released by: Australia-based Lowy Institute.
  • It reveals the difference between a country’s expected influence, based on its resources, and its actual influence in the region.
  • This insight also helps analysts and policymakers assess how effectively a country converts that strength into regional influence.
  • What does positive power gap shows: A positive Power Gap score means a country exerts more influence than its resources would predict. It suggests effective conversion of resources into influence through diplomacy, alliances and economic statecraft.
  • What does negative power gap shows: A negative Power Gap score indicates underperformance.  It highlights a disconnect, where a country possesses significant capabilities but is not leveraging them fully in geopolitics.
  • How the Power Gap Index is calculated: It consists of eight measures of power, 30 thematic sub-measures and 131 indicators.
    • The Index scores 27 countries’ comprehensive power using a weighted average across eight thematic measures.
    •  The eight measures of power, consists of four resource measures, which look at what countries have, and four influence measures, which look at what countries do with what they have.
    • These are combined into a weighted score out of 100. 
    • It is then derived by comparing this overall power score with an expected score based solely on a country’s resource base.
  • Findings of the Index 
    • The Index shows that India is not fully utilizing its strategic potential.
    • India has a Power Gap score of –4.0, the lowest in Asia (excluding Russia and North Korea), indicating a gap between its capabilities and actual influence.
    • Japan has a Power Gap score of 11.3, which reflects its position as a “smart power.” Japan effectively uses limited resources to achieve strong diplomatic, economic, and cultural influence in the region.
    • North Korea has a Power Gap score of –8.2. It derives most of its power from its military strength and nuclear weapons. However, its diplomatic and economic isolation limits its regional influence.
    • Many developing countries show influence shortfalls. This reflects unrealized potential and internal constraints that prevent them from projecting power internationally.
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